STI chart as of 24 Feb 17

Ernest’s market outlook (24 Feb 17)

Dear all, Dow has hit daily highs for 11 consecutive sessions, its longest streak of records since 1987! What’s next for our markets?   S&P500 Just to recap what I have mentioned on 10 Feb 2017 (see HERE), I wrote “various indicators such as RSI, MACD, OBV and MFI continue to exhibit bearish divergences. ADX has slid from 41 in Dec 2016 to close at around 18 on 10 Feb 2017, which is indicative of a trendless market. RSI closed at 70 on 10 Feb 2017. Given the various chart indications, although S&P500 continues to be on an uptrend amid […]

sti-chart-as-of-23-sep-16

Ernest’s market outlook (23 Sep 16)

Dear readers, S&P500 reached my measured technical target of 2,120 and rebounded. STI continues to be trapped in a range. What’s next?   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 9 Sep 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “The break below 2,157 on 9 Sep 2016 points to an eventual measured technical target of around 2,120. With this sharp plunge, RSI has declined from 59 on 19 Aug 2016 to around 32 on 9 Sep 2016. It is noteworthy that since Aug 2015, S&P500 typically staged a rebound when RSI reached around 27 – 32. Amid the sharp […]

sp500-chart-as-of-9-sep-16

Ernest’s market outlook (9 Sep 16)

Dear readers, S&P500 finally broke the (one month plus) tight trading range 2,157 – 2,194 with a 2.5% drop yesterday. What’s next? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 19 Aug 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “S&P500’s EMAs continue to move higher with a constant degree of separation which is a positive development. However, I am (increasingly) wary of two main factors namely, A) ADX continues to decline from 17.1 on 5 Aug 2016 to 15.9 on 19 Aug 2016, indicative of a lack of trend. B) Indicators such as MACD, MFI […]

STI chart as of 19 Aug 16

Ernest’s market outlook (19 Aug 16)

Dear readers, S&P500 has met my technical target of around 2,188. What’s next? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 5 Aug 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “Notwithstanding the continued bearish divergences indicated by MACD, RSI and the low ADX, my chart outlook continues to be the same as per two weeks ago. S&P500’s exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) continue to move higher with a constant degree of separation which is a positive development. The break above the trading range of 2,034 – 2,111 points to an eventual measured technical target 2,188. Strong […]

STI chart as of 22 Jul 16

Ernest’s market outlook (22 Jul 16)

Dear readers, Markets have continued to rally with the U.S indices clocking in a fourth consecutive weekly gain. Will the markets continue to defy gravity to reach new highs? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 8 Jul 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “Given the low ADX, bearish divergences between price and OBV, MACD and RSI, it is unlikely that S&P500 may stage a sustainable rally above an intraday all time high of 2,135 on 20 May 2015.” –> On the contrary, S&P500 breached 2,135 and stayed above the level for the […]