Yangzijiang anr 6 Aug 18

Yangzijiang – 2nd worst performing STI stock with -40% YTD (6 Aug 2018)

Yangzijiang (“YZJ”) has been the 2nd worst performing STI stock with -40% year to date (“YTD”) return based on the closing price of $0.880 on 6 Aug 2018 (click HERE). In the past four days, YZJ has weakened approximately 9.3% after hitting the intraday high of $0.970 on 31 Jul 2018. Is this recent share price decline the harbinger of poor results to be released on 7 Aug, after market?   2QFY18 results unlikely to be poor Based on my personal view, 2QFY18F results are unlikely to be poor based on the following points: a) Number of vessels delivered Based […]

Table 2_Major shareholders raise stake in Moya above entitlement

Moya’s major shareholders raise stake (13 Jul 2018)

On 6 Jul and 9 Jul, there were separate announcements on SGX that Tamaris Infrastructure (Salim controlled vehicle and major shareholder) and Gateway have raised their stake in Moya. What is so interesting about this?   Proposed rights at $0.095 at no discount On 22 May 2018, Moya announced that it is proposing renounceable non-underwritten rights issue to raise funds for a) Finance its Build, Operate and Transfer projects; b) Loan repayment; c) Potential acquisition   There are three main interesting aspects on this rights issue, namely: 1.The rights were issued at no discount Typically, when a company issues rights, […]

EC chart as of 29 Jun 18

EC World Reit – potential strong growth ahead (29 Jun 18)

Dear all, Reits are clearly not in our investors’ favour as evidenced by the 10.2% fall in FTSE Reit index (FSTAS8670.IN), which closed 786 on 29 Jun 2018, after hitting a multi-year high of 875 in Jan 2018. Most analysts or strategists will recommend reits with distribution per unit (“DPU”) growth, so as to combat the rise in interest rates. EC World Reit (“EC”) may be one with DPU growth. I have the privilege of meeting Mr Goh Toh Sim, Executive Director & CEO of EC and Mr Li Jinbo, Head of Investment of EC (“Management”) for a 1-1 discussion […]

Table 1_Top five stocks with the highest estimated total potential returns 21 Mar 18

S&P500 – closed below its 200D EMA – a 1st since Nov 2016! (23 Mar 18)

Dear all, Previously, I mentioned in my write-up dated 21 Mar that I am avoiding the event risk of the U.S. tariff package against Chinese (click HERE). This proves timely as S&P500 fell 129 points, or 4.7% from 2,717 on 20 Mar to close 2,588 on 23 Mar. At 2,588, S&P500 has made its first close below its 200D exponential moving average (“EMA”) since Nov 2016. Why and how is this significant?  During the sharp 10% drop in the first part of Feb 2018, S&P500 has not closed below its 200D EMA. Furthermore, most technical analysts are watching this level […]

Table 1_Top five stocks with the highest estimated total potential returns 29 Sep 17

Ernest’s compilation of stocks sorted by estimated total potential return (29 Sep 17)

Dear all S&P500 hit another record last Fri! Some private banking clients have enquired on any interesting stocks to take a closer look with a horizon of 1-3 years. Therefore, I have compiled a list of stocks based on Bloomberg’s data as of 29 Sep 2017. Table 1 shows only the top five stocks with the highest estimated total potential return. Table 1: List of top 5 stocks with the highest estimated total potential return Source: Bloomberg as of 29 Sep 2017   Noteworthy points 1. This compilation is based on Bloomberg’s data sorted with my set of criteria namely, a) […]

Table 2_Strong sales track record and robust project pipeline

Hatten Land Limited – “Capitaland” of Malacca (10 Mar 17)

For those who have gone to Malacca, they may have seen some of the developments by Hatten Land. Some may have gone as far to say that Hatten Land in Malacca may be considered as our “Capitaland” (to some extent) in Singapore. For those who are not familiar with Hatten Land, below is a short write-up.   Company description Hatten Land is the property development arm of the conglomerate Hatten Group with business in property development, property investment, hospitality, retail and education. Based on their circular, Hatten Land’s core business (See Table 1 below), is to sell all developed units […]

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Trading is easy, isn’t it? [4 Dec 2016] (Part 2)

In my previous article “Trading is easy, isn’t it? [20 Nov 16] (Part 1) click HERE”, I have discussed the importance of one’s psychology in trading. However, I have only given a general outline on risk management and trading system which are also very important topics. In this article, I will elaborate on risk management compiled from various trading books and will add in my thoughts under “–>”.   Risk management – What it ACTUALLY means… Risk management is a set of pre-defined guidelines which serious traders adhere so as to survive in the market over the long term. Risk […]

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Trading is easy, isn’t it? [20 Nov 16] (Part 1)

If somebody says his profession is a trader, what will you immediately think of? I believe most people would immediately flash across thoughts of fine dining, fast cars and effortless work. Is this really the life of a trader? If it is so easy, why don’t we all jump onto the “trader” bandwagon? In my opinion, trading or punting without consistent profits and plans is easy but it is not recommended. It is akin to gambling. If we are referring to trading as a consistent means of earning our keep, it is not easy. Ask any professional trader and nine […]

Fig 1 Selected Developer affected by QC and ABSD 30 Jun 16

Profit from the Panic – Developers’ Deadlines? BREXIT? (30 Jun 2016)

Profit from the Panic – Developers’ Deadlines? BREXIT? (Guest post) – Developer’s deadlines to sell units are reaching – Where are the opportunities? – Is the Singapore Property Market bottoming out? – If ABSD is removed who will benefit the most? – Does BREXIT pose risks to Singapore Property Markets? What are the other risks?   Developers’ deadlines to sell units are reaching – Where are the opportunities? With many developers hitting their deadlines for Qualifying Certificate (QC) – which need to sell within 5 years of construction else fined 8/16/24% for 1st/2nd/3rd year OR ABSD (developers to pay 15% […]