Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

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Sep – Historically a weak month for equities. Buy, hold or sell? (6 Sep 2022)

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Dear all, After touching an intraday high 4,325 on 16 Aug 22, S&P500 has slid 401 points, or -9.3% to 3,924 on 2 Sep. Hang Seng has slid to around 19,144 at the time of writing. Given the market pullback, there are several interesting stocks worthy of research. Coupled with various macro events happening this month (e.g. ECB & Fed Chair Powell Speaks 8 Sep; U.S CPI 13 Sep and FOMC 22 Sep etc.), I have to plan my trading strategy. Give the above, time is tight and this will be just be a brief article to update readers. (As […]

Numerous trading opportunities as Singapore corporates report results (9 Aug 2022)

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Dear all, Happy National Day! How has your portfolio been year to date? With reference to my writeup published on 3 Jul 2022 (click HERE), I mentioned that there are likely to be opportunities in the next few weeks. Post my writeup, S&P500 touched an intraday low of 3,722 on 14 Jul before closing up 418 points or 11.2% at 4,140 yesterday. In fact, S&P500 posted its best monthly gain in July, since Nov 2020. STI touched an intraday low of 3,088 on 15 Jul before trading up 183 points or 5.9% at 3,271 yesterday. Our Singapore banks started to […]

Alert! Comfort Delgro – Multi-month base building & challenges key resistance – Looks bullish (6 Aug 22)

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Dear Readers, As you are aware, I usually will do a stock screening using Bloomberg at the start of each month. In the screening, Comfort Delgro (“CD”) pops out on attractive valuations via my metrics. This is not the first time that CD pops out in my screening. However, coupled with some of the points below, it may arguably be a good time to take a closer look in CD. Due to time constraints, this write-up will be brief and I will just raise some pertinent points and risks. For a more complete picture, it is advisable to refer to […]

Markets – market opportunities may materialise in the next few weeks (3 Jul 2022)

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Dear all, I have been extremely busy with work. In my line of work (i.e., stock broking), we may have numerous trading ideas but we always face severe time constraints every day. My clients can attest to the numerous messages and information which I send out daily (Nevertheless, I do remind clients to exercise their due diligence on such information which I send as they are general in nature and may not be suitable to one’s specific risk profile etc.) For my readers, thanks for the patience and for viewing my blog which unfortunately, is not updated as frequently as […]

Aztech looks interesting – lowest forward PE among SG tech stocks with a 5.6% estimated dividend yield! (16 Apr 22)

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Dear all This week, Aztech has caught my attention amid rising volume with its 1QFY22F business update just around the corner. It has fallen approximately 39% from an intraday high of $1.56 on 27 Apr 2021 to close at $0.950 last Thursday. Let’s take a look on the interesting points and potential risks on Aztech.   Interesting points a) Analysts like Aztech with average target price $1.44 With reference to Figure 1 below, 4 analysts cover Aztech and all rate it a buy. Average analyst target price is around $1.44. If the analysts are right, Aztech offers a potential capital […]

Markets may continue to be volatile but also present valuable opportunities ahead (6 Mar 2022)

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Dear all We are two months into 2022. How is your portfolio doing? With reference to my writeup (click HERE) published on 17 Feb 2022, I mentioned that STI is likely to face headwinds in the near-term and SG banks’ share prices are likely to peak around 7-18 Feb based on past observations.   Coincidentally a) STI peaked on 17 Feb. In fact, STI has tumbled 6.9%, or 239 pts from its intraday high 3,466 on 17 Feb to close 3,227on 4 Mar. Last Friday’s intraday low was 3,208. More about its chart below. b) Banks – DBS peaked on […]

AEM enters bear market despite analysts’ positive calls. What gives? (20 Feb 22)

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Dear all AEM has fallen 21% from an intraday high of $5.37 on 14 Dec 2021 to close $4.25 on 18 Feb 2022. What has happened in the last two months to warrant such falls? Based on Bloomberg, average analyst target price is around $6.72, representing a potential capital upside of around 58%. Is this the bottom for AEM, or will it fall further? Personally, I think AEM is worth a closer look at $4.20 – 4.30 region. Let’s take a look at its investment merits and risks.   First things first, what does AEM do? According to its company […]

Sing Medical – Trades at a 13-month low price despite posting record 1HFY21 results (3 Feb 22)

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Dear all On 29 Dec 2020, I have published a write-up on Sing Medical (“SMG”) where I outlined that the risk reward on SMG seems favourable at $0.315, given a potential share transaction scenario (click HERE). Since 29 Dec, SMG rose approximately 32% to trade $0.415 – 0.420 on several occasions in Feb 2021. Subsequently, it dropped sharply in Apr 2021 when it announced that the potential share transaction has lapsed. Fast forward to 31 Jan 2022 and SMG closed at a 13-month low at $0.290. This is notwithstanding its sterling record 1HFY21 results announced in Aug last year where […]

STI – having closed at a record YTD high, will it continue higher? (7 Nov 2021)

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Dear all With reference to my market outlook published on 3 Oct (see HERE) citing opportunities in our Singapore market, STI has soared 191 points, or 6.3% from 3,051 on 1 Oct to close at a year to date high 3,242 on 5 Nov. Will STI continue to march higher, or will there be some profit taking?   Very briefly, my personal view is It is likely that STI may face some profit taking in the near term, attributable in part to the following factors: a) With reference to Figure 1 below, MSCI Singapore index will undergo a rebalancing in […]

3 interesting charts to take note: GSS Energy, China Sunsine and Sing Medical (28 Oct 2021)

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Dear all With reference to my market outlook published on 3 Oct 2021 (see HERE) where I cited opportunities in our Singapore market, our Singapore market (represented by STI) has jumped 154 points, or 5.1% since 1 Oct. Amid the recent strength, is it too late to plough into the markets? Are there still stocks who may have further upside? Based on my personal chart observation, GSS Energy, China Sunsine and Sing Medical have interesting / bullish charts’ setups which may be interesting to take a look.   GSS Energy Based on Chart 1 below, GSS seems to be on […]