Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

Aug

STI – having closed at a record YTD high, will it continue higher? (7 Nov 2021)

el15

Dear all With reference to my market outlook published on 3 Oct (see HERE) citing opportunities in our Singapore market, STI has soared 191 points, or 6.3% from 3,051 on 1 Oct to close at a year to date high 3,242 on 5 Nov. Will STI continue to march higher, or will there be some profit taking?   Very briefly, my personal view is It is likely that STI may face some profit taking in the near term, attributable in part to the following factors: a) With reference to Figure 1 below, MSCI Singapore index will undergo a rebalancing in […]

STI – Will it head for new YTD high after S&P500 clocked its 7th consecutive day of rally? (6 Jul 2021)

el15

Dear all S&P500 and Nasdaq clinch fresh record highs last Friday with S&P500 clocking in seven consecutive days of gains in its longest winning streak since August 2020. Despite the roaring U.S. markets, Singapore Straits Times Index (“STI”) has slipped almost 100 points from its 2021 intraday high of 3,237 on 30 Apr 2021 to close 3,141 on 5 Jul 2021. Can STI exceed 3,237 for 2HFY2021? Most strategists believe so, as their year-end targets for STI are easily above 3,237. Let’s look at the possible reasons why analysts are positive on our Singapore market.   Reasons to be optimistic […]

Riverstone – Is the recent 32% decline justified? (12 Sep 2020)

el15

Riverstone recently caught my attention. It has tumbled approximately 32% from an intraday high of $4.90 on 7 Aug 2020 to close $3.33 on 11 Sep 2020. One client even thought that Riverstone has already undergone a bonus issue! The recent weakness is likely attributed to its co-founder selling 15.5m shares at $3.95 (Bloomberg cites a 90-day lockup on seller); the possibility of a vaccine resulting in demand for gloves and consequently their average selling price (“ASP”) falling off the cliff and some Malaysia investors selling shares to raise cash, as their moratorium on loan repayment ends (click HERE for […]

Ernest’s market outlook (19 Aug 16)

el15

Dear readers, S&P500 has met my technical target of around 2,188. What’s next? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 5 Aug 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “Notwithstanding the continued bearish divergences indicated by MACD, RSI and the low ADX, my chart outlook continues to be the same as per two weeks ago. S&P500’s exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) continue to move higher with a constant degree of separation which is a positive development. The break above the trading range of 2,034 – 2,111 points to an eventual measured technical target 2,188. Strong […]