Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

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S&P500 has jumped 10.6% since 26 Dec! Should we chase the rally? (12 Jan 2019)

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Dear all Since my write-up on 23 Dec 2018 (see HERE), S&P500 has jumped approximately 7.5% since then. In fact, S&P500, after touching an intraday low of 2,347 on 26 Dec 2018, it has risen 249 points or 10.6% to close 2,596 on 11 Jan 2019. Is this the start of another upcycle in equities? Should we chase the rally? Below are some of the positive and negative points which readers can take into consideration before we can arrive to a well thought out answer.   Potential positive points supporting the continuous rally a) Fed may acknowledge rising risks to […]

Oxley – poised to benefit from Singapore’s property market upturn (10 Apr 18)

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Dear all, Do you know that Oxley has the largest residential land bank in Singapore by number of dwelling units, based on an article in the Business times dated 23 Jan 2018? Based on a flash estimate from the Urban Redevelopment Authority, Singapore private home property prices jumped 3.1% in the three months to Mar 2018. This was the fastest since 2010. Notwithstanding such buoyant sentiment in home prices, Oxley’s share price has recently dropped to near six month low levels. Thus, I think it may be worthwhile to take a look at Oxley.   First, a description of Oxley […]

HK listed China banks to report results this week – potential trading opportunities? (23 Mar 18)

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With reference to my earlier write-up (click HERE), besides SGX listed stocks, clients and readers can consider to take a look at some of the China banks listed on HK stock exchange. They may be interesting due to their upcoming results which may present some potential trading opportunities, especially when some of them have fallen 13-14% from their recent highs on 29 Jan 2018.   Why do I choose HK listed China banks, instead of our local banks for potential trading opportunities? 1. On a macro picture, Hang Seng seems to be slightly stronger than STI based on chart. For […]

Ernest’s market outlook (9 Dec 16)

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Dear readers, STI has hit highs last seen on Apr and Jul 2016, powered by our local banks. Can this sustain? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 25 Nov 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “S&P500 is on a clear uptrend. All the exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) are rising with 21D EMA forming golden cross with 50D EMA on 10 Nov 2016. Amid positive placed directional indicators (“DIs”), ADX continues to move higher from 28 on 11 Nov 2016 to 31 on 25 Nov 2016. It is noteworthy that indicators such as […]