Gallant Venture – Huge land bank @Bintan may be re-rating factor

Gallant Venture is a commercial developer, integrated master planner and manager for industrial parks and resorts in Batam and Bintan. Based on its annual report 2013, it has the backing of key shareholders such as Salim (74.5%) and Sembcorp Industries (12.0%). As of 30 Apr 14 closing price at $0.300 Gallant’s market cap is S$1.45b. Notwithstanding its large market capitalization, there is no analyst coverage.
There are some key factors which cause me to take a closer look at Gallant now.
1.     Huge land bank in Bintan totaling 18,000 hectares
Gallant has significant land bank in Bintan totaling approximately 18,000 hectares. According to Gallant’s company website, the land was acquired at a very attractive rate of $3 psm. With the recent interest coming into undervalued property stocks, Gallant may be worth a closer look.  It recently caught my attention and may catch the market attention too.
Although, I am not a property expert in assessing the worth of their land in Bintan, I would guess that it is likely to worth more than before. Its net asset value per share is approximately around $0.415.
2.     Property development business to gain traction
Gallant started to recognize land sales of S$55.5 million contributing net margin of approximately S$34.7 million in FY13. (FY13 net profit was S$47.5m). According to Gallant, three out of the five new hotels already under construction are scheduled to open in 2014. Another three additional hotels have announced to break ground in 2013. As these new properties come online, Gallant expects incremental revenues from their complementary lines of business, such as utilities, ferries and dormitory rentals.
3.     Automotive sector – full year contribution in FY14
As of Jul 2013, Gallant has increased its stake in PT Indomobil Sukses Internasional Tbk (“IMAS”) to 71.49%. In 2013, IMAS’ revenues exceeded S$2.45 billion and generated after-tax profit of almost S$79 million, contributing S$25.8 million profit to Gallant.
Indonesia’s automotive sector has been on an uptrend over the last five years. Total annual vehicle sales have doubled in the last five years from approximately 600,000 units to approximately 1.2 million units in 2013. On the back of Indonesia’s increasing consumption power, management remains positive on the automotive sector.
4.     Chart – consolidation mode
Based on Chart 1 below, Gallant seems to be in a consolidation mode after reaching eight month high at $0.360 on 19 Feb 2014. Based on my personal observation, there seems to be some accumulation at current levels.
Strong support: $0.290 – 0.300 / 0.280
Resistance: $0.315 / 0.335 / 0.350

Chart 1: Gallant seems to be consolidating around 0.280-0.315

Source: CIMB itrade 30 Apr 14
Risks
1.    May stay undervalued for some time if there is no analyst / media coverage.
It is not new that Gallant’s land bank is (very likely) undervalued in their books. However, what has changed is that they have started to recognize resorts land sales and have secured land sales contracts stretching till 2015. Thus, this seems to be a good step forward to monetize their land bank.
Having said the above, if there is no analyst or media coverage, it may still take time for the market to recognize the initiatives that Gallant is doing.
2.     Land sales – lumpy in nature.
As their land sales are lumpy in nature, quarterly results may not be a good gauge of company performance
In addition to the above, there are likely to be other risks involved. As this is just a short introduction on Gallant, please visit the company website http://www.gallantventure.com/ for more information.
Disclaimer

The information contained herein is the writer’s personal opinion and provided to you for information only, and is not intended to, or nor will it create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information or opinions provided herein do not constitute an investment advice, an offer or solicitation to subscribe for, purchase or sell the investment product(s) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of this information. Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of the product and the income from them may fall as well as rise. You may wish to seek advice from an independent financial adviser before making a commitment to purchase or invest in the investment product(s) mentioned herein. In the event that you choose not to do so, you should consider whether the investment product(s) mentioned herein are suitable for you. The writer will not, in any event, be liable to you for any direct/indirect or any other damages of any kind arising from or in connection with your reliance on any information in and/or materials appended herein. The information and/or materials are provided “as is” without warranty of any kind, either express or implied. In particular, no warranty regarding accuracy or fitness for a purpose is given in connection with such information and materials.

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