Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

Month: November 2016

Ernest’s market outlook (25 Nov 16)

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Dear readers, S&P500 hits record high! Will STI follow suit? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 11 Nov 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “S&P500, after closing below its 100D exponential moving average (“EMA”) for six consecutive days, surged with volume and closed above its 100D EMA (currently 2,137) for five consecutive days. 21D EMA has just formed a golden cross with 50D EMA on 10 Nov 2016. Another positive feature is that the directional indicators (“DIs”) have turned positive with ADX closing at 28. S&P500 has closed above 2,157 for three […]

GSS Energy – Roller coaster share price, what’s up? (28 Nov 16)

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Since my write-up on GSS Energy (“GSS”) dated 10 Oct 2016 (see HERE), GSS shares have surged 34% from $0.080 on 10 Oct 2016 to an intraday high of $0.107 on 13 Oct 2016. It subsequently fell to an intraday low of $0.070 on 21 Nov 2016 before closing at $0.078 on 28 Nov 2016. What has changed in the previous few weeks to fuel such a roller coaster movement in its share price? I have listed some of their key announcements announced during the period below. 1. Formally signed contract with Pertamina On 3 Nov 2016, GSS, through its […]

Starhub – all time oversold, price near five year low (22 Nov 16)

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Starhub has plunged 30.3% from an intraday high of $3.96 on 3 Aug 2016 to trade $2.76 today. This is near a five year low.   What has caused the sharp fall in Starhub? Some of the possible reasons may be 1. Market is pricing almost a 100% chance of a rate hike in Dec. Furthermore, there seems to be rising interest rate expectations on faster than expected tightening in 2017; 2. After IDA’s announcement on 16 Nov 2016 that MyRepublic and Australian telco TPG Telecom will get to participate in the 4G mobile airwave auction slated to complete by […]

Trading is easy, isn’t it? [20 Nov 16] (Part 1)

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If somebody says his profession is a trader, what will you immediately think of? I believe most people would immediately flash across thoughts of fine dining, fast cars and effortless work. Is this really the life of a trader? If it is so easy, why don’t we all jump onto the “trader” bandwagon? In my opinion, trading or punting without consistent profits and plans is easy but it is not recommended. It is akin to gambling. If we are referring to trading as a consistent means of earning our keep, it is not easy. Ask any professional trader and nine […]

Ernest’s market outlook (11 Nov 16)

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Dear readers, Notwithstanding most experts’ dire predictions that Dow may plunge as much as 10% on Trump’s win, Dow closed at a record high AFTER Trump’s win! Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 28 Oct 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “S&P500 closed below 100D EMA (currently 2,136) yesterday. As mentioned previously, S&P500 has not closed below its 100D EMA for three consecutive trading days since 1 Mar 2016. Thus, the price action around its 100D EMA is worth watching. After forming a death cross, 21D EMA is moving apart from 50D […]

Chiwayland – potential upside chart breakout (4 Nov 16)

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Chiwayland has dropped from an intraday high of $0.177 on 10 Oct 2016 to trade to an intraday low of $0.151 on 2 Nov 2016. It closed at $0.162 on 4 Nov 2016. Based on Chart 1, Chiwayland seems to have staged an upside breakout above $0.157 on strong volumes, the highest since 11 Oct 2016 (which coincided with the date of UOB Kayhian’s unrated report – see below). All the exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) are rising which indicate an uptrend. Although ADX is declining, it is still at elevated area at around 39 with positive placed directional indicators, indicative […]