Sunningdale's peers 30 Apr 2018

Sunningdale trades at 8.3x FY18F PE; 0.66x P/BV and 5.5% FY18F div yield (30 Apr 18)

Sunningdale has plunged 46% in less than half a year, from an intraday high of $2.40 on 6 Nov 2017 to close $1.30 on 30 Apr 2018. What happened? Is Sunningdale a “goner”?   Some reasons for Sunningdale’s decline Sunningdale’s share price decline may be attributed to some of the reasons below: a) Sentiment on tech sector has soured Sentiment has soured on the tech sector primarily due to downbeat results or / and guidance from tech companies such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd, SK Hynix. Secondly, there are rising fears of increasing regulation measures on the tech sector. […]

Venture anr 24 Apr 18

Venture approaches bear territory! Should we sell? (24 Apr 18)

Dear all, Venture has entered into bear territory after dropping 21% from an intraday high of $29.65 on 13 Apr 2018 to close $23.40 on 24 Apr 2018. What should we do? Let’s examine the chart and some noteworthy points on Venture.   Chart analysis Based on Chart 1 below, Venture’s chart seems to resemble a bearish double top formation. The break below its neckline $26.95 points to an eventual technical measured target $24.60 which is already attained today. 20D, 50D and 100D exponential moving averages (“EMA”) have started to turn lower amid the sharp drop. Venture closed below its […]

Table 1_Top five stocks with the highest estimated total potential returns 21 Mar 18

S&P500 – closed below its 200D EMA – a 1st since Nov 2016! (23 Mar 18)

Dear all, Previously, I mentioned in my write-up dated 21 Mar that I am avoiding the event risk of the U.S. tariff package against Chinese (click HERE). This proves timely as S&P500 fell 129 points, or 4.7% from 2,717 on 20 Mar to close 2,588 on 23 Mar. At 2,588, S&P500 has made its first close below its 200D exponential moving average (“EMA”) since Nov 2016. Why and how is this significant?  During the sharp 10% drop in the first part of Feb 2018, S&P500 has not closed below its 200D EMA. Furthermore, most technical analysts are watching this level […]

S&P500 chart as of 20 Mar 18

Markets – whipsawed by multiple events (20 Mar 18)

Our markets have been whipsawed by multiple events, such as rising inflation expectations and bond yields, protectionism (for e.g. Trade tariffs), upcoming FOMC meeting and sudden key personnel changes in the White House etc… How should we react or trade in current market conditions? Let’s take a look at the market events and the indices’ charts…   5 observations on the market Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s first FOMC meeting tonight. A 25bps rate hike is almost certainly expected but markets will be scrutinising what the new Fed Chairman will be saying during the conference; Based on an article on Washington […]

Singtel chart dated 2 Feb 18

Singtel nears two-year lows, will it go lower? (2 Feb 18)

Dear all Singtel has breached below $3.50 on increased volume last Fri. This is significant as it has not closed below $3.50 since 4 Feb 2016. Volume has picked up significantly with the drop. Will Singtel go lower?   Singtel’s chart analysis Singtel has breached below its trading range $3.57 – 3.65 established between 18 Dec 2017 – 30 Jan 2018 on 31 Jan 2018. Volume has accompanied the fall by surging for the past four days and the volume of shares transacted for the past three days hit a daily volume of 49 – 51m shares per day. This […]

Table 1_Top five stocks with the highest total potential return 10 Nov 17

Ernest’s market opinion (10 Nov 17)

Dear all STI has closed at 3,420, in line with my view that STI’s chart continues to be bullish (refer to my technical write-up on STI HERE), despite the elevated RSI.   1. Equities – still favour over bonds over 3-5 year time frame but… Personally, notwithstanding the market rally, I believe that over the long term, equities are still likely to outperform bonds and cash. Having said that, I am not telling all my clients to plough everything into stocks NOW, given that in the near term, there may not be significant catalysts to push the market higher by […]

Table 1_Top five stocks with the highest estimated total potential returns 29 Sep 17

Ernest’s compilation of stocks sorted by estimated total potential return (29 Sep 17)

Dear all S&P500 hit another record last Fri! Some private banking clients have enquired on any interesting stocks to take a closer look with a horizon of 1-3 years. Therefore, I have compiled a list of stocks based on Bloomberg’s data as of 29 Sep 2017. Table 1 shows only the top five stocks with the highest estimated total potential return. Table 1: List of top 5 stocks with the highest estimated total potential return Source: Bloomberg as of 29 Sep 2017   Noteworthy points 1. This compilation is based on Bloomberg’s data sorted with my set of criteria namely, a) […]

Billion market cap stocks with 3% dividend 12 Jun 17

Billion market cap stocks with >=3% dividend yield (12 June 17)

Business Times has an interesting article published today “High-yielding billion-$ stocks go beyond STI”. However, I noticed in the article, it did not list all the stocks with market cap >=S$1 billion and dividend yields >=3%. Therefore, I have sourced data from Bloomberg and have compiled a list of Singapore listed stocks with the following criteria: a) Market capitalisation in SGD terms >= S$1 billion; b) Estimated dividend yields >= 3%. Furthermore, I have sorted the stocks with the above criteria, sorted by total potential return (i.e. Potential capital gain + estimated dividend yield). Table 1 lists the top 5 […]

Table 1_Top five stocks with the highest estimated total potential returns

Ernest’s market opinion (19 May 17)

Dear all Below is my personal opinion on the market. As previously mentioned to my clients, I aim to reduce my percentage invested in stocks (currently around 130% invested), especially the non-performing stocks, with no immediate near term catalysts. I am cautious on the market in the next 1-2 months because a) The large market run up year to date. STI has appreciated approximately 12% YTD and 22% for the past one year; b) June is likely to be a quiet month as most companies have reported results and some of the blue chips have already ex dividend. i.e. limited […]

banks-valuation-1-dec-16

DBS – hits 52-week high, all-time overbought since 1991! (1 Dec 16)

DBS hit another 52-week high today. It has surged 19% from an intraday low of $14.97 on 9 Nov 2016 to $17.82 on 1 Dec 2016. This has significantly outperformed the STI by a mile, as STI was only higher by 6.0% over the same period.   What has caused the sharp rally in DBS? Some of the possible reasons may be 1. Since Donald Trump’s victory, the market has repriced in faster inflation in the U.S. due to Mr Trump’s infrastructure pledge. This has caused a surge in US Dollar and bond yields, especially on longer-dated debt. This bodes […]