Thai Bev analyst target price dated 23 Feb 18

ThaiBev drops to almost a two-year low. Will it go lower? (23 Feb 18)

ThaiBev has dropped 12% from an intraday high of $0.920 on 14 Feb 2018 (before the results) to trade at $0.810 on 23 Feb 2018. At $0.810, this was the lowest last seen on 13 May 2016. Will it go lower?   Chart analysis Based on Chart 1 below, ThaiBev is entrenched in a strong downtrend with all the exponential moving averages (EMAs) moving lower, coupled with death cross formations. The breakdown at $0.895 points to an eventual measured technical target of $0.805 which is attained today. Since its result release on 14 Feb after market, the volume of shares […]

S&P500 chart as of 16 Feb 18

S&P 500 jumped 4.3% last week, the best performance since Jan 2013! Is the recent sell off over? (18 Feb 18)

Last week, all three U.S. major indices (i.e. DOW, S&P500 and Nasdaq) have registered their best weekly performance in years. Is the recent sell off over? Let’s take a look.   7 observations on the market U.S 10Y bond yield is still relatively high at 2.875% (click HERE) vis-à-vis 2.418% a year ago. If it suddenly surges to around 3%, it may fuel another sell off; Inflation based on several indicators such as core CPI / core PPI released the week of 12 – 16 Feb are rising faster than forecasts. However, market shows limited reaction towards the inflation data […]

Top 5 SIN listed stocks sorted by potential return 8 Feb 18

Global indices have tumbled 6% since their recent high. Will they go lower? (7 Feb 18)

Dear all, With reference to my earlier write-up citing that “Volatility in the market is among the lowest in 118 years…” (click HERE), I guess the old saying is still true. i.e. “Be careful of what one wishes for”, especially in the equity markets! Global indices have recently tumbled at least 6% since their recent high. Will markets fall further?   S&P500 closed at 2,682 S&P500 has swung from an intraday high of 2,873 on 26 Jan 2018 to touch an intraday low of 2,593 on 6 Feb 2018. 20D and 50D exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) are turning downwards. Other […]

GSS chart dated 21 Dec 17

GSS announces oil, price drops to near pre announcement! (21 Dec 17)

GSS Energy (“GSS”) announced that it has struck oil and (surprise) gas in its first well on 13 Dec 2017. Share price jumped to an intraday high of S$0.178 on 14 Dec 2017, after the trading halt was lifted. It has since weakened to an intra-day low of S$0.156 on 21 Dec 2017 before closing at $0.161. Is the party in GSS over? Or is this just the beginning? I have managed to meet Mr Sydney Yeung, GSS’ CEO for a 1-1 chat two days ago on the company’s business and outlook.   Here are the key takeaways Q1. Previously, […]

Ying Li chart as of 12 Dec 17

Ying Li’s chart – consolidating nicely around $0.14+, before the next up-move? (12 Dec 17)

Ying Li’s chart seems to be consolidating nicely around $0.14+. Where will it go from here?   Personal chart observation With reference to Chart 1 below, Ying Li surged to an intraday high of $0.164 on 28 Nov 2017 immediately after the divestment announcement (See elaboration and announcement link below), before profit taking set in. Since then, Ying Li seems to be consolidating around $0.14+. Since 16 May 2017, Ying Li has been setting higher lows and higher highs. All the exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) have either stopped declining, or are moving higher. Although Ying Li’s share price has languished […]

Chart 1 Hatten's chart as of 3 Nov 17

2 companies to watch out as markets reach new highs (3 Nov 17)

Based on yesterday’s close, Nasdaq clocked a 63rd record close for 2017 and overtook the previous 62 record closes for 1980! S&P500, Nasdaq and Dow registered their 25th record close for 2017 simultaneously, matching the record established in 1995. On our local front, STI approaches a more than two year high. 2017 has not ended yet. For those investors who have not invested much, are they too late to the party? Are there still stocks with scope for potential upside? Personally, I believe that there are two companies, namely Hatten Land (“Hatten”) and GSS Energy (“GSS”) with interesting charts and […]

STI chart as of 27 Oct 17

Ernest’s market opinion (27 Oct 17)

Dear all STI has closed at 3,386, a fresh 29-month high. Some of you who have been less than 30% invested in their portfolios and have not added more exposure in their equities portfolio last month are wondering whether you have missed out of the rally. Should you continue to chase this? Read on for more.   S&P500 last closed 2,581 S&P500 is on a strong uptrend with all the exponential moving average (“EMA”) trending higher. ADX closed at 29.3, amid positively placed DIs, indicative of a trend. RSI closed at 70.7. This is not extremely overbought, relative to past […]

Sapphire chart as of 19 Oct 17

What’s next for Sapphire if HKICIM becomes a substantial shareholder (19 Oct 17)

Sapphire surged 11.5% this morning to touch an intraday high of $0.340 today on an announcement posted on SGX late last night. It closed +$0.01 to $0.315.   What happened yesterday? Two of Sapphire Corp’s largest shareholders, namely Best Feast Limited and Ou Rui Limited are swaping a combined 27.96% stake in the company with new shares to be issued by Hong Kong-listed Hong Kong International Construction Investment Management Group (“HKICIM”). According to an announcement by Sapphire, the above share swap represents Sapphire’s share price of approximately  S$0.51[1] per share.   Why Sapphire? I have been following up on Sapphire’s […]

Table 1_How GSS Energy fare against other tech stocks since 25 Sep 2017

GSS Energy – Personal view from technical and fundamental aspects (6 Oct 17)

In my technical write-up on GSS Energy (“GSS”) dated 14 Sep 2017 (click HERE), I highlighted the possibility that GSS may be on the verge of forming a potential inverse head and shoulder formation. For this write-up, I have put in my personal view based on both technical and fundamental aspects. Read below for more.   Technical outlook – bullish Why do I feel the chart looks positive? a) Previously, in my earlier technical write-up, I mentioned that a breach above $0.157 with volume and on a sustained basis points to an eventual measured technical target of around $0.186. GSS […]

Chart 1 Hatten's chart as of 26 Sep 17

Hatten Land – poised to breach above $0.210 (26 Sep 17)

Hatten Land (“Hatten”) has been trading in a tight range $0.192 – 0.210 for the past two months. Recently, there seems to be a pick up in the volume traded for the past two days. Hatten’s chart looks positive on several fronts.   Chart analysis Based on Chart 1 below, odds seem high that Hatten may be poised to breach above $0.210 in the next couple of months. This is because a) The recent price increase (albeit mild price increase) is accompanied with volume. On the days which Hatten falls, it is accompanied with lower than average volume; b) A […]