S&P500 chart as of 16 Feb 18

S&P 500 jumped 4.3% last week, the best performance since Jan 2013! Is the recent sell off over? (18 Feb 18)

Last week, all three U.S. major indices (i.e. DOW, S&P500 and Nasdaq) have registered their best weekly performance in years. Is the recent sell off over? Let’s take a look.   7 observations on the market U.S 10Y bond yield is still relatively high at 2.875% (click HERE) vis-à-vis 2.418% a year ago. If it suddenly surges to around 3%, it may fuel another sell off; Inflation based on several indicators such as core CPI / core PPI released the week of 12 – 16 Feb are rising faster than forecasts. However, market shows limited reaction towards the inflation data […]

Ying Li chart as of 12 Dec 17

Ying Li’s chart – consolidating nicely around $0.14+, before the next up-move? (12 Dec 17)

Ying Li’s chart seems to be consolidating nicely around $0.14+. Where will it go from here?   Personal chart observation With reference to Chart 1 below, Ying Li surged to an intraday high of $0.164 on 28 Nov 2017 immediately after the divestment announcement (See elaboration and announcement link below), before profit taking set in. Since then, Ying Li seems to be consolidating around $0.14+. Since 16 May 2017, Ying Li has been setting higher lows and higher highs. All the exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) have either stopped declining, or are moving higher. Although Ying Li’s share price has languished […]

Billion market cap stocks with 3% dividend 12 Jun 17

Billion market cap stocks with >=3% dividend yield (12 June 17)

Business Times has an interesting article published today “High-yielding billion-$ stocks go beyond STI”. However, I noticed in the article, it did not list all the stocks with market cap >=S$1 billion and dividend yields >=3%. Therefore, I have sourced data from Bloomberg and have compiled a list of Singapore listed stocks with the following criteria: a) Market capitalisation in SGD terms >= S$1 billion; b) Estimated dividend yields >= 3%. Furthermore, I have sorted the stocks with the above criteria, sorted by total potential return (i.e. Potential capital gain + estimated dividend yield). Table 1 lists the top 5 […]

Table 1_Top five stocks with the highest estimated total potential returns

Ernest’s market opinion (19 May 17)

Dear all Below is my personal opinion on the market. As previously mentioned to my clients, I aim to reduce my percentage invested in stocks (currently around 130% invested), especially the non-performing stocks, with no immediate near term catalysts. I am cautious on the market in the next 1-2 months because a) The large market run up year to date. STI has appreciated approximately 12% YTD and 22% for the past one year; b) June is likely to be a quiet month as most companies have reported results and some of the blue chips have already ex dividend. i.e. limited […]

STI chart as of 24 Feb 17

Ernest’s market outlook (24 Feb 17)

Dear all, Dow has hit daily highs for 11 consecutive sessions, its longest streak of records since 1987! What’s next for our markets?   S&P500 Just to recap what I have mentioned on 10 Feb 2017 (see HERE), I wrote “various indicators such as RSI, MACD, OBV and MFI continue to exhibit bearish divergences. ADX has slid from 41 in Dec 2016 to close at around 18 on 10 Feb 2017, which is indicative of a trendless market. RSI closed at 70 on 10 Feb 2017. Given the various chart indications, although S&P500 continues to be on an uptrend amid […]

Golden Energy chart as of 17 Feb 17

Golden Energy – Is this a laggard coal play? (17 Feb 17)

Pursuant to Golden Energy’s (“GEAR”) compliance placement at $0.670, GEAR has not closed above $0.670 since its debut on 12 Dec 2016. In fact, GEAR has slumped 21% from $0.655 on 12 Dec 2016 to $0.520 on 17 Feb 2017. This underperformance is even more glaring as compared to +24% appreciation in Geo Energy’s share price over the same period. Is GEAR a laggard coal play? Let’s take a look at some of the possible investment merits and risks.   Investment merits Targeted surge in targeted production volume GEAR has four mining concessions with the largest mining concession in BIB […]

Sunpower chart as of 8 Feb 17

Chart highlights on Midas, Sapphire, Sunpower, Terratech (9 Feb 17)

Dear readers, The animal spirits seem to have finally descended on our Singapore market! Our STI is one of the best performing indices with a blistering 6.4% year to date return. Our FSTS ST Small Cap Index has returned 3.8% year to date. I have highlighted four charts which (I feel) deserve attention. Do note the caveats below.   Midas With reference to my write-up on Midas dated 3 Feb 17 (click HERE), Midas’ inverse head and shoulders pattern seems to be confirmed with the decisive upside break above its 200D exponential moving average (“EMA”) and neckline of around $0.230 […]

STI chart as of 5 Aug 16

Ernest’s market outlook (5 Aug 16)

Dear readers, S&P500 has registered another high whereas our STI plunged 117 points, or 4.0% over the past two weeks. How will the markets move from here ? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 22 Jul 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “it is good to see that all its exponential moving averages for the S&P500 (“EMAs”) are moving higher with a good degree of separation. However, I am worried by the low ADX and the bearish divergences exhibited by the indicators such as MACD, MFI and RSI. Nevertheless, the break above […]