S&P500 chart as of 16 Feb 18

S&P 500 jumped 4.3% last week, the best performance since Jan 2013! Is the recent sell off over? (18 Feb 18)

Last week, all three U.S. major indices (i.e. DOW, S&P500 and Nasdaq) have registered their best weekly performance in years. Is the recent sell off over? Let’s take a look.   7 observations on the market U.S 10Y bond yield is still relatively high at 2.875% (click HERE) vis-à-vis 2.418% a year ago. If it suddenly surges to around 3%, it may fuel another sell off; Inflation based on several indicators such as core CPI / core PPI released the week of 12 – 16 Feb are rising faster than forecasts. However, market shows limited reaction towards the inflation data […]

STI chart as of 27 Oct 17

Ernest’s market opinion (27 Oct 17)

Dear all STI has closed at 3,386, a fresh 29-month high. Some of you who have been less than 30% invested in their portfolios and have not added more exposure in their equities portfolio last month are wondering whether you have missed out of the rally. Should you continue to chase this? Read on for more.   S&P500 last closed 2,581 S&P500 is on a strong uptrend with all the exponential moving average (“EMA”) trending higher. ADX closed at 29.3, amid positively placed DIs, indicative of a trend. RSI closed at 70.7. This is not extremely overbought, relative to past […]

Chart 1 Hatten's chart as of 26 Sep 17

Hatten Land – poised to breach above $0.210 (26 Sep 17)

Hatten Land (“Hatten”) has been trading in a tight range $0.192 – 0.210 for the past two months. Recently, there seems to be a pick up in the volume traded for the past two days. Hatten’s chart looks positive on several fronts.   Chart analysis Based on Chart 1 below, odds seem high that Hatten may be poised to breach above $0.210 in the next couple of months. This is because a) The recent price increase (albeit mild price increase) is accompanied with volume. On the days which Hatten falls, it is accompanied with lower than average volume; b) A […]

GSS chart dated 13 Sep 17

GSS Energy potential inverse head and shoulder formation (13 Sep 17)

Since my write-up on GSS Energy (“GSS”) dated 18 Aug 2017 (see HERE), GSS’ share price has jumped 12% from $0.137 on 18 Aug 2017 to close at $0.152 on 13 Sep 2017. Based on my personal chart observation, it seems likely to be in the midst of forming a potential bullish inverse head and shoulder formation.   Chart outlook GSS has reclaimed its 200D exponential moving averages (“EMA”) within three trading days after breaching. It has subsequently moved back to its lower trading range of around $0.152. Based on Chart 1 below, there are certain noteworthy points. a) Potential […]

S&P500 chart as of 18 Aug 17

Ernest’s market opinion (18 Aug 17)

Dear all Our STI has broken a one-month trading range of around 3,288 – 3,348. Where will STI and the other indices go from here?   S&P500 last closed 2,426 Based on Chart 1 below, although 20D exponential moving average (“EMA”) is trending lower, the other EMAs, namely 50D, 100D and 200D EMA are still trending up. RSI closed at 37.2. Since 7 Nov 2016, the lowest RSI was around 35.9 on 10 Apr 2017. Although the directional indicators (“DIs”) are negatively placed, ADX is still at a low 12.2 which is indicative of a trendless market. My personal view […]

GSS chart dated 18 Aug 17

GSS Energy dived 31% since 29 Mar 17. What gives? (18 Aug 17)

Since my write-up on GSS Energy (“GSS”) dated 28 Nov 2016 (see HERE), GSS’ share price has surged 154% from $0.078 on 28 Nov 2016 to an intraday high of $0.198 on 29 Mar 2017. It has subsequently dived 31% to close $0.137 on 18 Aug 2017. For chartists who monitor GSS, they would have noted that GSS has broken its 4-month trading range of (approximate) $0.152 – 0.181 which is a bearish development. In this write-up, I will structure it differently. To attempt to explain the price fall, I will discuss what has changed and what has not changed […]

Figure 3_Profits

Capital world has tumbled 46% since 29 Mar 17. What gives? Will it fall further? (1 Jun 17)

Capital World (formerly known as Terratech Group Limited) has slumped a whopping 46% from its intraday high of $0.240 on 29 Mar 2017 to close $0.130 on 1 Jun 2017. What has happened to cause such a massive fall? Will it fall further?   Company description Capital World is an innovative property developer that works with landowners on a joint venture basis to create value added property developments. Such joint venture requires minimal capital outlay and maximises investment returns. It is currently developing Project Capital City, an integrated property project comprising a retail mall, hotel and serviced suites and serviced […]

Singpost chart as of 9 May 17

Chart alerts for ISOTeam and Singpost (9 May 17)

Two charts have caught my attention, one potentially bullish (Singpost) and the other one potentially bearish (ISOTeam). Below are my personal views.   1. ISOTeam – hanging near critical support Based on Chart 1 below, ISOTeam has been trading in an approximately 10 month range $0.370 – 0.430 since Jul 2016. Most exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) such as 20D, 50D and 100D are sliding and compressing. This compression is usually unsustainable over the long term and may signify a possible significant price movement. ADX closed at 24. Although the directional indicators (“DIs”) are positively placed, +DI is turning downwards quite […]

Banyan Tree chart as of 17 Apr 17

Banyan Tree – collaborations with AccorHotels and Vanke may spark re-rating (17 Apr 17)

Banyan Tree recently clinched two noteworthy strategic partnership with AccorHotels and Vanke on 8 Dec 2016 and 23 Jan 2017 respectively. Since 23 Jan 2017, Banyan has largely traded between $0.465 – 0.530. It closed at $0.510 on 17 Apr 2017. If a company can catch the eyes of China’s largest property player Vanke and Europe’s largest hotel group / the world’s fifth largest hotel group AccorHotels, there must be some merit to it. I have managed to fix an exclusive 1-1 meeting with Mr Eddy See, Group MD and Mr Clement Ong, Head of Strategic Planning & Investment (“Management”) […]

Midas chart as of 7 Apr 17

6 concerns investors have with Midas (7 Apr 17)

Midas has slumped 14% post a 76% growth in its FY16 results. It closed at $0.225 on 7 Apr 2017 which was near the all-time closing low of $0.210. Some of my high net worth clients have told me their concerns on Midas. I have since met Mr Patrick Chew, CEO of Midas and Mr Liaw Kok Feng, CFO Midas for a 1-1 discussion. Here are my key takeaways.   Key takeaways from my concerns posed to the management Concern 1: Orders momentum have slowed for its aluminium extrusion segment According to management, they remain positive for their aluminium extrusion […]