Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

recovery

Comfort Delgro closed at $1.03, lowest last seen on 18 Mar 2004! (9 Jun 23)

el15

Dear all Comfort Delgro (“CD”) closed at $1.03 today. Based on Bloomberg, this was the lowest close last seen on 18 Mar 2004. The main reason cited for this recent drop was that Citi has reduced its target price for CD from $1.63 (26 Feb 2023) to $1.32 (2 Jun 2023). Nevertheless, they maintained their buy call. Is it all doom and gloom? Should we throw in the towel and just give up on CD? Personally, I find CD interesting at current levels. Before I delve into it, just for record purpose, I have a previous article on CD published […]

Keppel Corp slumps 7% post results to $7.11 – Any trading opportunity ahead? (8 Feb 23)

el15

Dear all, Kep Corp has fallen $0.54 or 7% from $7.65 on 2 Feb to close $7.11 yesterday. In this write-up, I will elaborate on my take on what has happened and whether there is any trading opportunity.   Why did Kep Corp plummet 7%? Kep Corp announced 4QFY22 results on 2 Feb after market. Based on CGS-CIMB report, Kep Corp’s FY22 net profit of S$927m slightly beat estimates, at 102% consensus estimates. So what has caused the sharp drop in share price post results? My guess is that Kep Corp probably drops because a) Kep Corp has appreciated 7.6% […]

Comfort Delgro sinks to 14-year low! Will it go lower? (19 Jan 2023)

el15

Dear all On 11 Jan, Comfort (CD) closed at $1.21, the lowest close since 31 Oct 2008. The next day, to the horror of CD’s shareholders, it broke $1.21 with volume expansion and closed at $1.18. At the time of this write-up, CD closed today at $1.14, the lowest close last seen 29 Oct 2008. Will CD fall more? Or will this be a comfortable trade at current level? Let’s read on for more.   Possible reasons to be bullish A) Still a recovery play CD with its operations in Australia, China, Singapore, UK etc. should gradually benefit as economies […]

GSS Energy – Electric mobility business takes shape (25 Jan 22)

el15

Dear all, With reference to my write-up published on 5 Jan 2022 (click HERE) citing that Asian indices are likely to outperform that of the U.S. market in 2022, our Asian indices, viz. Hang Seng and STI have outperformed the U.S. market significantly (See Table 1 below). U.S. S&P500 notched a 6.4% decline whereas Hang Seng and STI registered a 9.0% and 4.2% gain respectively since my write-up. Table 1: S&P500, Hang Seng and STI 2021 performance since 5 Jan 2022 Source: Ernest’s compilation Given the outperformance, are there still pockets of opportunities in our Singapore market? The short answer […]

Jiutian – still on an uptrend, tests resistance $0.101 (2 Feb 21)

el15

Dear all With reference to my write-up on Jiutian posted on my blog on 2 Dec 2020 (click HERE), Jiutian touched an intraday low of $0.066 on 14 Dec 2020 before touching an intraday high of $0.116 on 25 & 26 Jan 2021. At the time of this write-up, Jiutian is trading at $0.101 and is on track to test an important resistance $0.101. At current levels, Jiutian seems interesting on the following basis: A) Average selling prices (“ASP”) have improved from the recent low seen in Dec Based on the DMF price as shown on this website (click HERE), […]

My thoughts on Sing Medical Group’s possible share transaction (29 Dec 20)

el15

Dear all Sing Medical Group (“SMG”) announced on 18 Dec 20 that the Company is currently in discussions with a third party regarding a possible transaction involving the Company’s shares. The discussions are preliminary and there is no certainty or assurance that such discussions will progress beyond the current stage or that any transaction will materialise as a result of such discussions.   Why am I interested in SMG? My personal view is that at $0.315, given a potential share transaction scenario, the risk reward seems favourable. Please refer to my basis and the risks as highlighted below: 1) Past […]

Jiutian – proxy to economic recovery and exposure to EV sector (2 Dec 20)

el15

Dear all Since my write-up “Singapore – Asia’s worst equity market YTD, any opportunities ahead?” posted on my blog on 1 Nov 2020 (click HERE) citing opportunities in our Singapore market, Singapore market (as represented by STI) has clocked in its best monthly return in Nov 2020 since May 2009, up 15.8%! In the U.S., the strong market sentiment is filtering to its small mid cap space with Russell 2000 hitting record high last week. For those readers who are looking for Singapore small caps which are overlooked by the market, Jiutian Chemical (“Jiutian”) may be an interesting company to […]

GSS Energy – Roller coaster share price, what’s up? (28 Nov 16)

el15

Since my write-up on GSS Energy (“GSS”) dated 10 Oct 2016 (see HERE), GSS shares have surged 34% from $0.080 on 10 Oct 2016 to an intraday high of $0.107 on 13 Oct 2016. It subsequently fell to an intraday low of $0.070 on 21 Nov 2016 before closing at $0.078 on 28 Nov 2016. What has changed in the previous few weeks to fuel such a roller coaster movement in its share price? I have listed some of their key announcements announced during the period below. 1. Formally signed contract with Pertamina On 3 Nov 2016, GSS, through its […]