STI chart as of 13 Jan 17

Ernest’s market outlook (13 Jan 17)

Dear all, STI performs to my expectations as it heads towards 3,040 (my eventual technical measured target price which I mentioned previously). What’s next? For the charts analysis below, you can cross – reference to my market outlook sent on 6 Jan 17 HERE. (Actually, my bi weekly market update should be done next week. However, I noticed that the market seems to be reaching some near-term potential resistances. Hence, I decided to do a market update. Due to time constraints, I did not put in Hang Seng analysis for this issue)   S&P500 Based on Chart 1 below, it […]

isoteam-chart-as-of-9-jan-17

ISOTeam on the verge of a potential bullish chart breakout (9 Jan 2017)

ISOTeam recently caught my attention with a surge in price, accompanied with volume. Based on Chart 1 below, ISOTeam has been trading in a tight range of $0.375 – 0.405 since 30 Aug 2016. ISOTeam closed unchanged at $0.395 on 9 Jan 2017. All the exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) are turning higher with 20D EMA on the verge of forming a golden cross with 50D EMA. Amid positive placed DIs, ADX has turned higher from 17 on 27 Dec 2016 to 30 on 9 Jan 2017, indicative of a trend. OBV has strengthened, together with other indicators such as RSI […]

sing-medical-chart-as-of-22-dec-16

Singapore Medical Group tripled since Jul 2016! Any more upside? (22 Dec 2016)

Singapore Medical Group (“SMG”) has almost tripled from $0.142 on 26 Jul 2016 to close $0.415 on 22 Dec 2016. Against the backdrop of this meteoric rally, is there any more upside to this stock?   First, description of SMG… Based on SMG’s press release, it was incorporated in 2005 and listed on the SGX since 2009. It is a private specialist healthcare provider with a network of 30 specialties. The Group currently has a total of 23 clinics strategically located in Paragon, Mount Elizabeth Novena Specialist Centre, Parkway East Medical Centre, Raffles Place, Connexion and Gleneagles Medical Centre with […]

banks-valuation-1-dec-16

DBS – hits 52-week high, all-time overbought since 1991! (1 Dec 16)

DBS hit another 52-week high today. It has surged 19% from an intraday low of $14.97 on 9 Nov 2016 to $17.82 on 1 Dec 2016. This has significantly outperformed the STI by a mile, as STI was only higher by 6.0% over the same period.   What has caused the sharp rally in DBS? Some of the possible reasons may be 1. Since Donald Trump’s victory, the market has repriced in faster inflation in the U.S. due to Mr Trump’s infrastructure pledge. This has caused a surge in US Dollar and bond yields, especially on longer-dated debt. This bodes […]

ernests-compilation-of-telco-performance-22-nov-16

Starhub – all time oversold, price near five year low (22 Nov 16)

Starhub has plunged 30.3% from an intraday high of $3.96 on 3 Aug 2016 to trade $2.76 today. This is near a five year low.   What has caused the sharp fall in Starhub? Some of the possible reasons may be 1. Market is pricing almost a 100% chance of a rate hike in Dec. Furthermore, there seems to be rising interest rate expectations on faster than expected tightening in 2017; 2. After IDA’s announcement on 16 Nov 2016 that MyRepublic and Australian telco TPG Telecom will get to participate in the 4G mobile airwave auction slated to complete by […]

sino-g-chart-as-of-26-sep-16

Sino Grandness – on the verge of testing critical supports (26 Sep 16)

Sino Grandness has slumped 45% from an intraday high of $0.785 on 7 Jun 2016 to $0.435 on 26 Sep 2016. Sino Grandness has broken its support at $0.450 on 22 Sep 2016 with a larger than average volume. It is on the verge of testing an important support around $0.415 – 0.425. If this breaks with volume and on a sustained basis, it will be pretty bearish. Based on Chart 1 below, it remains entrenched within a strong downtrend with death crosses forming on its 21D and 200D EMA and 50D and 100D EMA. RSI is trading at around […]

oxley-chart-as-of-13-sep-16

Oxley’s base building between $0.380 – 0.460 (13 Sep 16)

Dear all Based on Chart 1 below, Oxley seems to be an interesting stock. Last Fri (9 Sep 2016) was the T+6th day after its sharp rally. The recent price decline from $0.445 was accompanied with weak volume. (My personal guess is that contra players have been taking profit for the past few days). Broadly speaking, the stock has been stuck in a one-year trading range between $0.380 – 0.460. ADX has declined from an unsustainable 69 on 2 Aug 2016 to around 37 on 13 Sep 2016. All the exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) have stopped their declines with 20D, […]

STI chart as of 24 Jun 16

Ernest’s market outlook (24 Jun 16)

Dear readers, Are you burnt in the aftermath of THE BREXIT? What should you do now? To cut loss, hold or buy more? Before you make the decision, it is good to consider the various markets and how they are likely to fare in the next two weeks.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 10 Jun 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “Given the low ADX, S&P500 may trade between 2,034 – 2,106 (barring Brexit on 23 Jun 2016).” –> Although Brexit happens, S&P500 reached an intraday low of 2,033 on last Fri, just 1 point […]

Top five companies sorted by total potential return 14 Jun   16

STI dives 130 pts in 1 week! Time to buy in? (16 Jun 16)

STI has tumbled 130 points, or 4.5% from an intraday high of 2,882 on 9 Jun 2016 to close 2,752 on 16 Jun 2016. The recent rapid sell off seems to reveal some interesting opportunities especially for those readers who have taken profit and moved to mostly cash (similar to me) since last week. Like most people, I am not clairvoyant and am not always able to catch the lowest level to buy into stocks.   Also, I will not know for sure whether: 1. Brexit will occur; 2. What is the exact impact (short term, medium term, long term […]

Table 1_Companies with significant exposure to UK 14 Jun   16

Brexit – which are the companies most exposed to UK? (15 Jun 16)

Dear all At the time of writing this article, STI has tumbled 121 points, or 4.2% from an intraday high of 2,882 on 9 Jun 2016 to trade at 2,761 on 15 Jun 2016. With Brexit’s concerns hanging over the equity markets like a sword of Damocles, I believe it is apt to review which are the companies with significant exposure to UK. According to a UOB Kayhian report dated today, Ascott Reit, City Development, CDL Hospitality, Comfort Delgro, Fraser Hospitality Trust, Ho Bee and SembCorp Industries were cited as companies with significant exposure to UK. (See Table 1 below) […]