GSS chart dated 18 Aug 17

GSS Energy dived 31% since 29 Mar 17. What gives? (18 Aug 17)

Since my write-up on GSS Energy (“GSS”) dated 28 Nov 2016 (see HERE), GSS’ share price has surged 154% from $0.078 on 28 Nov 2016 to an intraday high of $0.198 on 29 Mar 2017. It has subsequently dived 31% to close $0.137 on 18 Aug 2017. For chartists who monitor GSS, they would have noted that GSS has broken its 4-month trading range of (approximate) $0.152 – 0.181 which is a bearish development. In this write-up, I will structure it differently. To attempt to explain the price fall, I will discuss what has changed and what has not changed […]

Chart 1 Hatten's chart as of 10 Jul 17

Hatten Land – chart looks positive on several fronts! (10 Jul 17)

Pursuant to my previous write-up on 23 May 2017 (click HERE for the earlier write-up) citing the oversold nature on Hatten’s chart, Hatten has surged 20.2% from $0.183 on 23 May 2017 to close $0.220 on 10 Jul 2017. Hatten’s chart looks positive on several fronts.   Chart analysis Based on Chart 1 below, Hatten’s chart seems to have several positives. a) It is evident that the recent price increase is accompanied with volume. On the days which Hatten falls, it is accompanied with lower than average volume; b) A double bottom formation seems to have formed with the neckline breakout […]

Chart 1 Hatten's chart as of 23 May 17

Hatten Land – extremely oversold RSI 15; Analyst TP: $0.435 vs closing price $0.183 (23 May 17)

Hatten Land has dropped 39% from an intraday high of $0.300 on 28 Feb 2017 to close $0.183 on 23 May 2017. What has caused the sharp decline? Where is the bottom?   Possible reasons for the decline Personally, I believe the recent decline may be attributed in part to the following: a) Hatten reported losses for its 3QFY17 results due mainly to the RM87.8m expenses incurred in relation to the professional fees and acquisition costs arising from the Reverse Takeover exercise (“RTO”). It is noteworthy that these expenses are once off and non-cash in nature [click HERE for Hatten’s […]

Table 1_Top five stocks with the highest estimated total potential returns

Ernest’s market opinion (19 May 17)

Dear all Below is my personal opinion on the market. As previously mentioned to my clients, I aim to reduce my percentage invested in stocks (currently around 130% invested), especially the non-performing stocks, with no immediate near term catalysts. I am cautious on the market in the next 1-2 months because a) The large market run up year to date. STI has appreciated approximately 12% YTD and 22% for the past one year; b) June is likely to be a quiet month as most companies have reported results and some of the blue chips have already ex dividend. i.e. limited […]

Midas chart as of 7 Apr 17

6 concerns investors have with Midas (7 Apr 17)

Midas has slumped 14% post a 76% growth in its FY16 results. It closed at $0.225 on 7 Apr 2017 which was near the all-time closing low of $0.210. Some of my high net worth clients have told me their concerns on Midas. I have since met Mr Patrick Chew, CEO of Midas and Mr Liaw Kok Feng, CFO Midas for a 1-1 discussion. Here are my key takeaways.   Key takeaways from my concerns posed to the management Concern 1: Orders momentum have slowed for its aluminium extrusion segment According to management, they remain positive for their aluminium extrusion […]

Table 1_Geo Energy vs Golden Energy

Golden Energy – 4th largest in Indonesia but share price lags Geo Energy by a mile! (27 Mar 17)

Golden Energy (“GEAR”) has slumped 21% from $0.655 on 12 Dec 2016 to $0.515 on 27 Mar 2017. Compare this with a 47% rally in Geo Energy’s share price over the same period. Moreover, GEAR has slumped 10% post its results notwithstanding the strong set of results. Why is this so? I have managed to fix an exclusive 1-1 meetup with Mark Zhou, Head of investments, GEAR (“Management”) to find out more about the company’s business and prospects.   Key takeaways from the meetup Bullish on FY17F Management continues to be bullish about its outlook. Based on Chart 1 below, Indonesia, […]

Sapphire FY16 results

5 observations on Sapphire’s results (10 Mar 17)

Sapphire’s share price slumped 8% from $0.335 on 27 Feb 2017 (before their results on 27 Feb, after market) to close $0.310 on 10 Mar 2017. Are their FY16 results bad? If yes, why does Mr Teh, CEO of Sapphire, record his first purchase since Sep 2015 now? Below are my five observations on Sapphire’s results. Click HERE for the press release. Table 1: Snapshot of Sapphire’s results Source: Company   5 observations on Sapphire’s results 1.Disposed loss making Mancala to be a focused infrastructure play Sapphire has divested the bulk of Mancala. Based on most industry experts, it is […]

Midas chart as of 24 Feb 17

Midas issued positive profit alert! (24 Feb 17)

Dear all, Midas issued a positive profit alert yesterday. It cited “…based on the Board’s preliminary review of the unaudited management accounts of the Group for the year ended 31 December 2016, the Group expects to record a substantial increase by over 70% in its profit attributable to owners of the Company for the year ended 31 December 2016 as compared to the same period of previous year. Such increase was mainly attributable to the contribution from our Aluminium Stretched Plates Division which we completed the acquisition on 27 July 2016.” What does this mean?   My personal take on […]

Golden Energy chart as of 17 Feb 17

Golden Energy – Is this a laggard coal play? (17 Feb 17)

Pursuant to Golden Energy’s (“GEAR”) compliance placement at $0.670, GEAR has not closed above $0.670 since its debut on 12 Dec 2016. In fact, GEAR has slumped 21% from $0.655 on 12 Dec 2016 to $0.520 on 17 Feb 2017. This underperformance is even more glaring as compared to +24% appreciation in Geo Energy’s share price over the same period. Is GEAR a laggard coal play? Let’s take a look at some of the possible investment merits and risks.   Investment merits Targeted surge in targeted production volume GEAR has four mining concessions with the largest mining concession in BIB […]

Compilation of contracts since 2015

Is Midas a recovery play in 2017? (3 Feb 17)

Midas has recently announced contracts after contracts. Based on Table 1 below, it is especially evident that Midas is gaining traction (particularly from 23 Jun 2016 onwards) in winning orders from clients, especially from its 32.5% stake in CRRC Nanjing Puzhen Rail Transport Co., Ltd. (“NPRT”). However, investors do not seem to share this optimism as Midas has fallen approximately 12% from $0.260 on 23 Jun 2016 to $0.230 on 3 Feb 2017. Table 1: Ernest’s compilation of contracts announced since 2015 Source: SGX; Ernest’s compilation Is the market overly pessimistic on Midas? I am fortunate to meet Mr. Patrick […]