Sapphire – profit taking likely to taper off (17 Oct 2016)

Sapphire reached $0.365 on 10 Oct 2016, one bid below my measured eventual technical target of $0.370. Since then, it has fallen 14% to $0.315 on 17 Oct 2016. Will it continue to slide further?   Chart outlook Sapphire has largely been trading within the range of $0.240 – $0.305 since 25 Jan 2016 before it broke out on 6 Oct 2016 above $0.305 on heavy volume. As previously mentioned on my 19 Sep 2016 Sapphire’s write-up (click HERE), the upside breakout above $0.305 points to an eventual measured technical target of $0.370. This was attained when Sapphire reached $0.365 […]


Ernest’s market outlook (14 Oct 16)

Dear readers, Although my market outlook is a biweekly issue, the technical outlook for some technical indices has deteriorated and I view it timely to update my clients. See below.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 7 Oct 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “all the exponential moving averages (“EMAs) are converging and trending higher. ADX has slipped from 22 on 23 Sep 2016 to 20 on 7 Oct 2016, indicative of a lack of trend. Indicators are neutral and stuck in a range. Although the trend continues to be an uptrend until proven otherwise, my […]


GSS Energy spiked 67% since 1 Sep 2016! What gives? (10 Oct 16)

GSS Energy’s (“GSS”) recent share spike and chart action caught my attention. GSS has surged 67% from $0.048 on 1 Sep 2016 to close $0.080 on 10 Oct 2016. It has just moved above its 200D exponential moving average (“EMA”) for the first time in 16 months! Furthermore, GSS announced that its subsidiary was awarded a KSO contract from Pertamina for oil production for the Trembul Operation Area. In view of the chart and company’s developments, I arranged a meetup with Mr Sydney Yeung, CEO of GSS Energy for an exclusive discussion of the company’s business developments and prospects. Below […]


Ernest’s market outlook (7 Oct 16)

Dear readers, The recent selective small cap rally seems to be as hot as the China property market! For those who have not benefitted in the recent selective market rally, is it too late to jump on the bandwagon now? Let us take a look at the various broad market indices first.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 23 Sep 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “S&P500’s volatility has increased since 9 Sep 2016. RSI has increased around 32 on 9 Sep 2016 to 52 (a neutral level) on 23 Sep 2016. All the exponential moving […]


Sino Grandness – on the verge of testing critical supports (26 Sep 16)

Sino Grandness has slumped 45% from an intraday high of $0.785 on 7 Jun 2016 to $0.435 on 26 Sep 2016. Sino Grandness has broken its support at $0.450 on 22 Sep 2016 with a larger than average volume. It is on the verge of testing an important support around $0.415 – 0.425. If this breaks with volume and on a sustained basis, it will be pretty bearish. Based on Chart 1 below, it remains entrenched within a strong downtrend with death crosses forming on its 21D and 200D EMA and 50D and 100D EMA. RSI is trading at around […]


Biases in Investing (25 Sep 16)

“I’m an idiot. I shouldn’t have sold off ‘Stock A’. I just know that it will rocket upwards in the next few days. And now it has surged. It is so obvious. I should have seen it coming” Do the above sentences sound familiar? If yes, then you probably have a hindsight bias. Biases are typically insidious and can affect and distort our thinking and interpretation of data and choices without our knowledge, thus we have to be wary of the biases and act accordingly. I was recently asked by Lianhe Zaobao (please refer to their article HERE dated 25 […]


Ernest’s market outlook (23 Sep 16)

Dear readers, S&P500 reached my measured technical target of 2,120 and rebounded. STI continues to be trapped in a range. What’s next?   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 9 Sep 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “The break below 2,157 on 9 Sep 2016 points to an eventual measured technical target of around 2,120. With this sharp plunge, RSI has declined from 59 on 19 Aug 2016 to around 32 on 9 Sep 2016. It is noteworthy that since Aug 2015, S&P500 typically staged a rebound when RSI reached around 27 – 32. Amid the sharp […]


Sapphire’s substantial shareholders increase stake in Sapphire at $0.265 (19 Sep 2016)

Sapphire announced that Best Feast Limited (“Best Feast”) and Ou Rui Group Limited (“Ou Rui”) have acquired additional Sapphire shares as a sign of their confidence in the Company. Details are as follows: 1. Best Feast, a company incorporated in the British Virgin Islands and beneficially owned by 34 individuals was the owner of Ranken Infrastructure Limited (“Ranken”). Sapphire previously acquired Ranken from Best Feast with part of its acquisition consideration funded by the issuance of 165m new ordinary Shares at the issue price of S$0.10 per Consideration Share. (Best Feast has 55m shares at the issue price of $0.30, […]


Selling – When do you sell a stock (18 Sep 16)

Typically, when you read an analyst report, or a news article on a company, or when someone asks you to take a look at a stock with promising prospects, the decision to buy is usually easier, as you are buying on the prospect of potential gains. After your purchase, if the stock subsequently appreciates, or slumps, or stays around the same level for some time, you may wonder what to do with your existing stocks. Through my work as a remisier, I have received extremely frequent (and rather standard) questions from my clients (or sometimes readers), whether they should buy […]


Chiwayland – Aiming to be an international property developer; trading at 0.4x P/BV! (14 Sep 16)

While doing my usual stock screening, Chiwayland pops out as one of the undervalued companies, based on price to book valuation metric. Coupled with its recent multitude of positive announcements, I decide to take a look at this company.   Company description According to Chiwayland’s press release, its properties span across the heart of the Yangtze River Delta Region, including Shanghai, Suzhou and Nanjing. To date, Chiwayland has completed 11 property developments with an aggregate total GFA exceeding 2.0 million square metres, and is ranked as one of the Top 100 Real Estate Development Enterprise. In 2014, the Group embarked […]