STI chart as of 19 Jun 18

STI – down 9.4% since 2 May. Correction coming, or buying opportunity? (19 Jun 18)

With reference to my market outlook HERE posted on 11 May 2018, I mentioned at that time that I  have started to sell into strength, as I am cautious on the overall market. I updated on 30 May 2018 (click HERE) that STI is likely to trade sideways with downward bias. Separately, my clients would have been notified on 12 Jun 2018 morning that I have already reduced my percentage invested to approximately 40% as I believe market is likely to trend downwards in the next couple of weeks. In the span of four trading days, STI has dropped 148 […]

Table 1_Top five stocks with the highest estimated total potential returns 30 May 18

STI slumps 198 points after hitting a decade high of 3,642 on 2 May! (30 May 18)

With reference to my market outlook HERE posted on 11 May 2018, I mentioned at that time that I have started to sell into strength, as I am cautious on the overall market. Clients would have been aware / notified that I have already reduced my percentage invested to <60% early last week. STI has since dropped 126 points from 3,570 on 11 May 2018 to close 3,444 on 30 May 2018. For those who wish to accumulate on weakness, I have compiled a list of stocks here, using Bloomberg’s data as of 30 May 2018. The criteria for compilation […]

S&P500 chart 11 May 18

STI notched a ten year high on 2 May – is it a screaming buy for all SG stocks (11 May 18)

Dear all, Dow has logged a seventh consecutive rise and small caps as measured by S&P600 index have just closed at a record high as of 11 May 2018. Our Singapore market has also done us proud too by becoming Asia’s best performing equity market on 2 May 2018. In view of the above, is it a screaming buy for our Singapore market, especially our small caps which have under-performed? Let’s take a closer look at the charts and my personal action plan.   S&P500 closed 2,728. Day range 2,717 – 2,733 Based on Chart 1 below, S&P500 seems to […]

Sunningdale's peers 30 Apr 2018

Sunningdale trades at 8.3x FY18F PE; 0.66x P/BV and 5.5% FY18F div yield (30 Apr 18)

Sunningdale has plunged 46% in less than half a year, from an intraday high of $2.40 on 6 Nov 2017 to close $1.30 on 30 Apr 2018. What happened? Is Sunningdale a “goner”?   Some reasons for Sunningdale’s decline Sunningdale’s share price decline may be attributed to some of the reasons below: a) Sentiment on tech sector has soured Sentiment has soured on the tech sector primarily due to downbeat results or / and guidance from tech companies such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd, SK Hynix. Secondly, there are rising fears of increasing regulation measures on the tech sector. […]

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REC Insights Part 1 of 3: Prime Property at near Mass Market Prices? (26 Apr 18)

REC Insights is a 3 part series hopes to provide insights to investors looking for opportunities in the Singapore Property Market. These insights will be accompanied with detailed, straight to the point analysis. These insights are purely my personal opinion only and do not constitute any investment advice. In the previous article “5 things you must know before your next property investment” (Click HERE), I discussed about higher vacancy rates, rising interest rates and a potential oversupply situation from 2021 onwards. In addition to the previous discussed points, many Singaporeans would say that salary has not risen, or has not […]

Venture anr 24 Apr 18

Venture approaches bear territory! Should we sell? (24 Apr 18)

Dear all, Venture has entered into bear territory after dropping 21% from an intraday high of $29.65 on 13 Apr 2018 to close $23.40 on 24 Apr 2018. What should we do? Let’s examine the chart and some noteworthy points on Venture.   Chart analysis Based on Chart 1 below, Venture’s chart seems to resemble a bearish double top formation. The break below its neckline $26.95 points to an eventual technical measured target $24.60 which is already attained today. 20D, 50D and 100D exponential moving averages (“EMA”) have started to turn lower amid the sharp drop. Venture closed below its […]

Uplift in property prices Jan 2018

Oxley – poised to benefit from Singapore’s property market upturn (10 Apr 18)

Dear all, Do you know that Oxley has the largest residential land bank in Singapore by number of dwelling units, based on an article in the Business times dated 23 Jan 2018? Based on a flash estimate from the Urban Redevelopment Authority, Singapore private home property prices jumped 3.1% in the three months to Mar 2018. This was the fastest since 2010. Notwithstanding such buoyant sentiment in home prices, Oxley’s share price has recently dropped to near six month low levels. Thus, I think it may be worthwhile to take a look at Oxley.   First, a description of Oxley […]

S&P500 chart as of 29 Mar 18

Island reversal; potential Dow Theory sell signal… What does this mean for our markets? (30 Mar 18)

Dear all, Besides the headline grabbing news on Facebook and the U.S. China trade tariffs etc. some of you may have noticed other equally interesting / alarming headlines such as the island reversal chart formation seen in Nasdaq 100 (click HERE) and Nasdaq Composite index, and reports that a potential “Dow Theory” sell signal, one of the oldest and arguably the most widely followed market timing tool, may happen anytime (click HERE). What should we do? Let’s take a closer look at the charts and my personal action plan.   S&P500 closed 2,640. Day range 2,610 – 2,659 Based on […]

DBS analyst TP 26 Mar 18

DBS – potential trading idea going to XD (26 Mar 18)

Dear all, Based on a simple tracking of DBS’ share price performance from CD to XD, on average, DBS seems to move approximately 4-9% above its CD price, nearer to XD (translating to around S$27.86-29.13). See Table 1 below. DBS is going to XD $1.10 on 3 May. Table 1: DBS’ share price performance from CD to XD Source: Ernest’s compilations   What are the analysts saying? Based on Figure 1 below, average analyst target is around $31.15. At $27.21, this represents a potential capital upside of around 14.5%. Estimated div yield is around 4.1%. There are 17 buy; 6 […]

CCB chart 23 Mar 18

HK listed China banks to report results this week – potential trading opportunities? (23 Mar 18)

With reference to my earlier write-up (click HERE), besides SGX listed stocks, clients and readers can consider to take a look at some of the China banks listed on HK stock exchange. They may be interesting due to their upcoming results which may present some potential trading opportunities, especially when some of them have fallen 13-14% from their recent highs on 29 Jan 2018.   Why do I choose HK listed China banks, instead of our local banks for potential trading opportunities? 1. On a macro picture, Hang Seng seems to be slightly stronger than STI based on chart. For […]