Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

Month: February 2017

Ernest’s market outlook (24 Feb 17)

el15

Dear all, Dow has hit daily highs for 11 consecutive sessions, its longest streak of records since 1987! What’s next for our markets?   S&P500 Just to recap what I have mentioned on 10 Feb 2017 (see HERE), I wrote “various indicators such as RSI, MACD, OBV and MFI continue to exhibit bearish divergences. ADX has slid from 41 in Dec 2016 to close at around 18 on 10 Feb 2017, which is indicative of a trendless market. RSI closed at 70 on 10 Feb 2017. Given the various chart indications, although S&P500 continues to be on an uptrend amid […]

Midas issued positive profit alert! (24 Feb 17)

el15

Dear all, Midas issued a positive profit alert yesterday. It cited “…based on the Board’s preliminary review of the unaudited management accounts of the Group for the year ended 31 December 2016, the Group expects to record a substantial increase by over 70% in its profit attributable to owners of the Company for the year ended 31 December 2016 as compared to the same period of previous year. Such increase was mainly attributable to the contribution from our Aluminium Stretched Plates Division which we completed the acquisition on 27 July 2016.” What does this mean?   My personal take on […]

Golden Energy – Is this a laggard coal play? (17 Feb 17)

el15

Pursuant to Golden Energy’s (“GEAR”) compliance placement at $0.670, GEAR has not closed above $0.670 since its debut on 12 Dec 2016. In fact, GEAR has slumped 21% from $0.655 on 12 Dec 2016 to $0.520 on 17 Feb 2017. This underperformance is even more glaring as compared to +24% appreciation in Geo Energy’s share price over the same period. Is GEAR a laggard coal play? Let’s take a look at some of the possible investment merits and risks.   Investment merits Targeted surge in targeted production volume GEAR has four mining concessions with the largest mining concession in BIB […]

Ernest’s market outlook (10 Feb 17)

el15

Dear all, Happy Chinese New Year 元宵节! The animal spirits seem to have descended on our Singapore market! Our STI is one of the best performing indices with a blistering 7.6% year to date return. Our FSTS ST Small Cap Index has returned 4.6% for the same period. Have you benefitted from this rally? What’s next for our markets?   S&P500 Just to recap what I have mentioned on 27 Jan 2017 (see HERE), I wrote “it is very worrying (more worrying than 13 Jan) that the various indicators such as RSI, MACD, OBV and MFI continue to exhibit bearish […]

Chart highlights on Midas, Sapphire, Sunpower, Terratech (9 Feb 17)

el15

Dear readers, The animal spirits seem to have finally descended on our Singapore market! Our STI is one of the best performing indices with a blistering 6.4% year to date return. Our FSTS ST Small Cap Index has returned 3.8% year to date. I have highlighted four charts which (I feel) deserve attention. Do note the caveats below.   Midas With reference to my write-up on Midas dated 3 Feb 17 (click HERE), Midas’ inverse head and shoulders pattern seems to be confirmed with the decisive upside break above its 200D exponential moving average (“EMA”) and neckline of around $0.230 […]

Is Midas a recovery play in 2017? (3 Feb 17)

el15

Midas has recently announced contracts after contracts. Based on Table 1 below, it is especially evident that Midas is gaining traction (particularly from 23 Jun 2016 onwards) in winning orders from clients, especially from its 32.5% stake in CRRC Nanjing Puzhen Rail Transport Co., Ltd. (“NPRT”). However, investors do not seem to share this optimism as Midas has fallen approximately 12% from $0.260 on 23 Jun 2016 to $0.230 on 3 Feb 2017. Table 1: Ernest’s compilation of contracts announced since 2015 Source: SGX; Ernest’s compilation Is the market overly pessimistic on Midas? I am fortunate to meet Mr. Patrick […]