Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

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Ernest’s market outlook (22 Jul 16)

el15

Dear readers, Markets have continued to rally with the U.S indices clocking in a fourth consecutive weekly gain. Will the markets continue to defy gravity to reach new highs? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 8 Jul 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “Given the low ADX, bearish divergences between price and OBV, MACD and RSI, it is unlikely that S&P500 may stage a sustainable rally above an intraday all time high of 2,135 on 20 May 2015.” –> On the contrary, S&P500 breached 2,135 and stayed above the level for the […]

Ernest’s market outlook (8 Jul 16)

el15

Dear readers, What a difference the past two weeks make! Have you benefited from the sharp rally in the equity markets? Or did u cut loss on your long positions and initiated shorts after the Brexit and cut loss on your shorts due to the sharp rally? Two weeks ago, I said that I might raise my percentage invested from 71% to 150 – 200% on sharp market selloffs (see HERE). I also mentioned that I have told my clients who are mostly in cash to accumulate some stocks on dips. Indices such as S&P500 and STI have soared above […]

Profit from the Panic – Developers’ Deadlines? BREXIT? (30 Jun 2016)

el15

Profit from the Panic – Developers’ Deadlines? BREXIT? (Guest post) – Developer’s deadlines to sell units are reaching – Where are the opportunities? – Is the Singapore Property Market bottoming out? – If ABSD is removed who will benefit the most? – Does BREXIT pose risks to Singapore Property Markets? What are the other risks?   Developers’ deadlines to sell units are reaching – Where are the opportunities? With many developers hitting their deadlines for Qualifying Certificate (QC) – which need to sell within 5 years of construction else fined 8/16/24% for 1st/2nd/3rd year OR ABSD (developers to pay 15% […]

My interview on Mediacorp Ch 8, 9am, Morning Express 晨光第一线 (24 Jun 2016)

el15

Dear all, I am pleased to say that I have appeared on Mediacorp Ch 8, 9am, Morning Express 晨光第一线 on 24 Jun 2016. Readers who wish to know my market outlook on Morning Express 晨光第一线 can click the link indicated below. Please scroll the time bar to 14:00 to view it. http://video.toggle.sg/en/tv-show/news/may-2016-morning-express/fri-27-may-2016/407281

Ernest’s market outlook (24 Jun 16)

el15

Dear readers, Are you burnt in the aftermath of THE BREXIT? What should you do now? To cut loss, hold or buy more? Before you make the decision, it is good to consider the various markets and how they are likely to fare in the next two weeks.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 10 Jun 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “Given the low ADX, S&P500 may trade between 2,034 – 2,106 (barring Brexit on 23 Jun 2016).” –> Although Brexit happens, S&P500 reached an intraday low of 2,033 on last Fri, just 1 point […]

Ernest’s market outlook (10 Jun 16)

el15

Dear readers, Two weeks ago, I mentioned that I have increased my stock holding from 36% to 80% by accumulating on one stock on weakness. I have since taken profit on this single largest stock holding and have pared my stake in another stock. Besides the stock sales, I have increased my stake in another stock on weakness. All in, my percentage invested was reduced from 80% to approximately 31%. I am unlikely to exceed 50% invested in the next two weeks, unless I spot some extremely attractive opportunities as I remain cautious on the general market. Read on to […]