Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

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Sapphire’s substantial shareholders increase stake in Sapphire at $0.265 (19 Sep 2016)

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Sapphire announced that Best Feast Limited (“Best Feast”) and Ou Rui Group Limited (“Ou Rui”) have acquired additional Sapphire shares as a sign of their confidence in the Company. Details are as follows: 1. Best Feast, a company incorporated in the British Virgin Islands and beneficially owned by 34 individuals was the owner of Ranken Infrastructure Limited (“Ranken”). Sapphire previously acquired Ranken from Best Feast with part of its acquisition consideration funded by the issuance of 165m new ordinary Shares at the issue price of S$0.10 per Consideration Share. (Best Feast has 55m shares at the issue price of $0.30, […]

Oxley’s base building between $0.380 – 0.460 (13 Sep 16)

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Dear all Based on Chart 1 below, Oxley seems to be an interesting stock. Last Fri (9 Sep 2016) was the T+6th day after its sharp rally. The recent price decline from $0.445 was accompanied with weak volume. (My personal guess is that contra players have been taking profit for the past few days). Broadly speaking, the stock has been stuck in a one-year trading range between $0.380 – 0.460. ADX has declined from an unsustainable 69 on 2 Aug 2016 to around 37 on 13 Sep 2016. All the exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) have stopped their declines with 20D, […]

Ernest’s market outlook (9 Sep 16)

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Dear readers, S&P500 finally broke the (one month plus) tight trading range 2,157 – 2,194 with a 2.5% drop yesterday. What’s next? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 19 Aug 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “S&P500’s EMAs continue to move higher with a constant degree of separation which is a positive development. However, I am (increasingly) wary of two main factors namely, A) ADX continues to decline from 17.1 on 5 Aug 2016 to 15.9 on 19 Aug 2016, indicative of a lack of trend. B) Indicators such as MACD, MFI […]

Ernest’s STI market outlook (5 Sep 16)

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Dear all, I am not able to do the biweekly “Ernest’s market outlook” as I am in the midst of transiting to another chart platform. While I am still exploring Chartnexus, here is my interpretation of our STI chart.   STI Based on Chart 1 below, STI faces a cluster of resistances at 2,865 – 2,870, followed by 2,882. ADX remains weak at 17 on 5 Sep 2016, indicative of a lack of trend. Indicators such as OBV, MFI continue to slide with price. RSI closed at 50.5 today. A sustained break below 2,800 is bearish for the chart. Near […]

Ernest’s market outlook (19 Aug 16)

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Dear readers, S&P500 has met my technical target of around 2,188. What’s next? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 5 Aug 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “Notwithstanding the continued bearish divergences indicated by MACD, RSI and the low ADX, my chart outlook continues to be the same as per two weeks ago. S&P500’s exponential moving averages (“EMAs”) continue to move higher with a constant degree of separation which is a positive development. The break above the trading range of 2,034 – 2,111 points to an eventual measured technical target 2,188. Strong […]

Key takeaways from Sapphire’s 2QFY16 results briefing (12 Aug 16)

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Sapphire Corp just announced a sterling set of 2QFY16 results last Wed. However, its share price barely budged. Is this a case of Mr Market being unaware of this stock, or is Mr Market still bogged down by Sapphire’s chequered past?[1] To know more about the company and its upcoming developments, I attended Sapphire’s 2QFY16 results briefing last Thurs, hosted at Peach Gardens. The meeting was hosted by Mr Teh Wing Kwan, Sapphire’s Managing Director and Group CEO and Mr Ng Hoi-Gee, Kit, Sapphire’s CFO, collectively known as (“Management”). Picture 1: Management meetup with analysts, funds and remisiers Source: Company […]

Ernest’s market outlook (5 Aug 16)

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Dear readers, S&P500 has registered another high whereas our STI plunged 117 points, or 4.0% over the past two weeks. How will the markets move from here ? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 22 Jul 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “it is good to see that all its exponential moving averages for the S&P500 (“EMAs”) are moving higher with a good degree of separation. However, I am worried by the low ADX and the bearish divergences exhibited by the indicators such as MACD, MFI and RSI. Nevertheless, the break above […]

Ernest’s market outlook (22 Jul 16)

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Dear readers, Markets have continued to rally with the U.S indices clocking in a fourth consecutive weekly gain. Will the markets continue to defy gravity to reach new highs? Read on for more.   S&P500 Index Just to recap what I have mentioned on 8 Jul 2016 (see HERE), I wrote “Given the low ADX, bearish divergences between price and OBV, MACD and RSI, it is unlikely that S&P500 may stage a sustainable rally above an intraday all time high of 2,135 on 20 May 2015.” –> On the contrary, S&P500 breached 2,135 and stayed above the level for the […]

Sapphire’s order book hits a record high (15 Jul 16)

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Sapphire’s order book hits a record high with RMB873m of worth of infrastructure contracts won on 14 Jul 2016. It seems to be evolving into a serious infrastructure play. However, it is still an under researched, under noticed stock judging from the lack of liquidity and zero analyst coverage.   Noteworthy points on the contracts won On 14 Jul 2016, Sapphire announced that it has clinched RMB873m worth of infrastructure contracts through its engineering, procurement and construction subsidiary, Ranken Infrastructure Limited. There are some noteworthy points in this announcement. a) RMB 300m Jian Cao Ping flyover & RMB 313m to […]

Ernest’s market outlook (8 Jul 16)

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Dear readers, What a difference the past two weeks make! Have you benefited from the sharp rally in the equity markets? Or did u cut loss on your long positions and initiated shorts after the Brexit and cut loss on your shorts due to the sharp rally? Two weeks ago, I said that I might raise my percentage invested from 71% to 150 – 200% on sharp market selloffs (see HERE). I also mentioned that I have told my clients who are mostly in cash to accumulate some stocks on dips. Indices such as S&P500 and STI have soared above […]