Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

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Hi-P – Chart looks interesting with rising ADX, amid positively placed DI (21 Feb 19)

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This week, Hi-P caught my attention due to its chart. It last trades at $0.990. Day range 0.985 – 1.00. Let’s take a look. Basis below 1.Chart looks interesting with rising ADX, amid positively placed DI Hi-P has been trading in a tight range $0.885 – 0.960 since 8 Jan 2019 and broke out with strong volume on 11 Feb 2019. ADX has been rising to trade 31.6 amid positively placed DI, indicative of a trend. RSI last trades 57.9. Today is T+8 of 11 Feb upmove. There has been some price weakness on 15 & 18 Feb as I […]

Sing Medical – Chart seems to be strengthening (13 Feb 2019)

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This week, Sing Medical’s (“SMG”) caught my attention. At the time of writing this write-up, SMG is trading +0.005 to $0.430. Day range 0.425 – 0.430.   Some interesting observations on SMG a) Chart seems to be strengthening Based on Chart 1 below, SMG seems to have breached the near term downtrend line established since Mar 2018. Today is T+7 of the sharp upmove dated 31 Jan 2019 thus, I guess those contra players (who plan to contra and not hold the stock) have already exited. Indicators such as OBV, RSI and MACD are strengthening. ADX last trades 34.5 on […]

ISOTeam trades near 4 year low despite record order books and bright outlook (10 Jan 19)

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ISOTeam (“ISO”) caught my attention. Despite sitting on a record order book, ISO has tumbled approximately 44% from an intra-day high of $0.385 on 10 Apr 2018 to close near a four year low at around $0.215 on 10 Jan 2019. The share price decline was attributable in part to its 4QFY18 surprise loss announced in Aug 2018 (financial year ends in Jun). Nevertheless, my gut feel is that 4QFY18 should mark the trough in earnings and results should improve on a quarter on quarter basis in the next few quarters. As this company is a potential turnaround play, I […]

SIA Engineering trades at 9-year low price and 10-year low valuations (26 Dec 18)

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SIA Engineering (“SIE”) catches my attention this week because 1) Share price has fallen to the lows last seen in May 2009 – 9 +year low with negative news, more or less well known. It last trades at $2.20 on 26 Dec 2018. Based on Maybank’s report out this month, SIE management has flagged out challenges in their industry approximately two years ago –> on lower maintenance frequency required by newer aircraft and fleet growth at low cost carriers (“LCC”) requiring SIE to think of new solutions to reduce aircraft downtime at hangars; 2) At $2.20, RSI last trades at […]

6 concerns investors have with Midas (7 Apr 17)

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Midas has slumped 14% post a 76% growth in its FY16 results. It closed at $0.225 on 7 Apr 2017 which was near the all-time closing low of $0.210. Some of my high net worth clients have told me their concerns on Midas. I have since met Mr Patrick Chew, CEO of Midas and Mr Liaw Kok Feng, CFO Midas for a 1-1 discussion. Here are my key takeaways.   Key takeaways from my concerns posed to the management Concern 1: Orders momentum have slowed for its aluminium extrusion segment According to management, they remain positive for their aluminium extrusion […]

Is Midas a recovery play in 2017? (3 Feb 17)

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Midas has recently announced contracts after contracts. Based on Table 1 below, it is especially evident that Midas is gaining traction (particularly from 23 Jun 2016 onwards) in winning orders from clients, especially from its 32.5% stake in CRRC Nanjing Puzhen Rail Transport Co., Ltd. (“NPRT”). However, investors do not seem to share this optimism as Midas has fallen approximately 12% from $0.260 on 23 Jun 2016 to $0.230 on 3 Feb 2017. Table 1: Ernest’s compilation of contracts announced since 2015 Source: SGX; Ernest’s compilation Is the market overly pessimistic on Midas? I am fortunate to meet Mr. Patrick […]