Markets – diverging signs from technicals and fundamentals. What should we do? (4 Apr 2022)

Dear all March has been a roller coaster month. Hong Kong market, represented by Hang Seng index touched multi-year lows around 14-15 Mar and has rebounded approximately 21% from the intraday lows. S&P500 performed well too with a third consecutive weekly rise. With reference to my writeup (click HERE) published on 6 Mar 2022, I mentioned that a) Odds are likely of a downward push first I mentioned that based on chart, odds are higher for a downwards move for both S&P500 and STI, to retest the previous support around 4,115 – 4,222 and 3,138 – 3,200 (with 3,175 a […]

Investment Strategy 2

After you understand your investment strategy and your risk profile, the next step to do is to plan your asset and currency allocation. Assume that your investment style is moderate, you are in mid twenties and you do not have immediate requirement for your cash, you can invest in a balanced portfolio. You can consider the following allocation: 50% in cash, 30% in equities and 20% in alternatives (ie commodities etc. They are considered alternatives as they typically have a negative correlation with equities.) Even if equities drop 30% and alternatives drop 30%, the overall impact to your portfolio will […]