Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

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Singapore – Asia’s worst equity market YTD, any opportunities ahead? (29 Oct 20)

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Dear all It is less than a week from the U.S. election. U.S. markets are understandably jittery. S&P500 has fallen 316 points, or 8.9% from its intraday high of 3,550 on 12 Oct 2020 to touch an intraday low 3,234 on 30 Oct 20. In fact, S&P500 has tumbled 195 points or 5.6% this week. S&P500 closed at 3,270 on 30 Oct. The media has written extensively on the risks surrounding U.S. election since months ago hence the election event risk is hardly a new one. Examples of risks which media has written about is the possibility on contested election […]

Starburst – building order books; bright outlook (24 Aug 2020)

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In May 2019, I met Starburst’s Managing and Executive Director Mr Yap Tin Foo. Since Mar 2020, Starburst has been on a roll in winning contracts and I believe it is an opportune time to meet Mr Yap again. Despite Mr Yap’s busy schedule, he agrees to meet me on 1-1 basis to share his company’s business operations and prospects. Below are some of my takeaways from my discussion with him and from its recent results briefing.   Company description Quoting from Starburst’s press release, it is an engineering specialist in a niche industry, and designs, fabricates, installs and maintains […]

SIA nears 10-year low price amid 10-year low valuations! (26 May 19)

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Dear all This week, our National Carrier SIA caught my attention with its 10% fall in the past three months to close $9.17. At $9.17, it has fallen to close to the lows last seen in Oct 2018 and May 2009. In fact, when I informed my clients on SIA on 23-24 May, it was trading around $9.10-9.11 which is the lowest last seen in the past 10 years! Given the basis below, my personal view is that SIA may be presenting a favourable risk reward setup for a long trade. Do take a look at the basis and more […]

ISOTeam – on the verge of a bullish break from a potential double bottom formation! (21 May 2019)

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Previously, I have done a write-up (click HERE) on ISOTeam (“ISO”) after interviewing Anthony, CEO and Richard, GM on an exclusive basis in Dec 2018. I have bought in at that time and have taken profit in Jan 2019. Since Apr, I have been accumulating ISO, as its chart seems to portend a potential upside breakout after a lengthy potential double bottom formation. ISO closed at $0.230 on 21 May 2019. Let’s take a look at its investment merits and more importantly, its investment risks below.   Investment merits a) Potential bullish break from a double bottom formation Since 2017, […]

Golden Energy – 4th largest in Indonesia but share price lags Geo Energy by a mile! (27 Mar 17)

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Golden Energy (“GEAR”) has slumped 21% from $0.655 on 12 Dec 2016 to $0.515 on 27 Mar 2017. Compare this with a 47% rally in Geo Energy’s share price over the same period. Moreover, GEAR has slumped 10% post its results notwithstanding the strong set of results. Why is this so? I have managed to fix an exclusive 1-1 meetup with Mark Zhou, Head of investments, GEAR (“Management”) to find out more about the company’s business and prospects.   Key takeaways from the meetup Bullish on FY17F Management continues to be bullish about its outlook. Based on Chart 1 below, Indonesia, […]

Hatten Land Limited – “Capitaland” of Malacca (10 Mar 17)

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For those who have gone to Malacca, they may have seen some of the developments by Hatten Land. Some may have gone as far to say that Hatten Land in Malacca may be considered as our “Capitaland” (to some extent) in Singapore. For those who are not familiar with Hatten Land, below is a short write-up.   Company description Hatten Land is the property development arm of the conglomerate Hatten Group with business in property development, property investment, hospitality, retail and education. Based on their circular, Hatten Land’s core business (See Table 1 below), is to sell all developed units […]

Can $ComfortDelGro(C52) regain its customers of taxi service? (1 Mar 17)

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Can $ComfortDelGro(C52) regain its customers of taxi service? (guest post) Brief Background of ComfortDelGro: ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited is a Singapore-based investment holding and management services company. It operates in eight segments: 1) Bus & bus station 2) Rail 3) Taxi 4) car rental and leasing 5) automotive engineering services 6) inspection and testing service 7) driving centre and 8) insurance broking services and outdoor advertising.   Summary of ComfortDelGro’s recent financial performance:  The group maintains a steady growth of net profit despite a slight revenue decline caused by unfavourable currency translation this year. With the entrance and fierce competition brought by Uber […]