Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

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UnUsUaL Limited – Potential removal of share overhang & Andy Lau’s concert may propel the share price (25 Jul 24)

el15

Dear all, UnUsUaL Limited (UnUsUaL) recently caught my attention due to a) It has slumped approximately 29% from $0.170 on 30 May to touch $0.120 on 16 – 17 Jul; b) Married deals of 19.0m shares transacted at $0.120 on 19 Jul and 1.6m shares at $0.125 on 22 Jul; c) Andy Lau is reportedly going to sing in Singapore. For the above point c), UnUsUaL announced yesterday on their Facebook (click HERE) that Andy Lau will be coming to Singapore for four nights from 10 – 13 Oct at Singapore Indoor Stadium. Given the above developments, it may arguably […]

Alibaba trades at single digit forward PE; net cash with earnings growth. What gives?! (11 Oct 23)

el15

Dear all Alibaba, since hitting a post-result intraday high of HKD97.95 on 11 Aug, it has slumped 14.9% to close HKD83.40 on 10 Oct. At HKD83.40, Alibaba trades at 9.3x FY24F and 8.5x FY25F PE. Its financial year ends in Mar. On 26 Sep, Alibaba submitted a spin-off proposal for its Cainiao (click HERE) to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange has confirmed that the Company may proceed with the Proposed Spin-off. A spin-off listing application has been submitted to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. All in, it looks pretty positive. Why is Alibaba trading […]

Markets – possible technical rebound in the near term but likely short lived (26 May 2022)

el15

Dear all I have been extremely busy with work, hence the dearth of articles on my blog. Dow has closed lower for the eighth consecutive week. This marks the longest period of consecutive weekly losses since 1923! S&P500 has registered a seventh week of losses, its longest weekly losing streak since March 2001. Are the markets going to drop into an abyss? Or has the bottom been reached? Before we delve into this, let’s recap on my earlier market outlook article dated 4 Apr 22 (click HERE). Previously, I wrote that I am more inclined towards the bearish / prudent […]

Yangzijiang looks interesting; tests support $0.940 – 0.980 (8 Feb 21)

el15

Yangzijiang (“YZJ”) has weakened approximately 13% from $1.11 on 13 Jan 2021 to close $0.970 on 5 Feb 2021. It has significantly underperformed STI (STI only dropped around 3% over the same period) and is the top STI constituent stocks with the highest potential return (see HERE). Why is it interesting? Read on for more…   Interesting points on YZJ a) Orders are likely to improve in FY21F Based on DBS Research 3 Dec 2020 report, the surge in China (Export) Containerized Freight Index (highest since Mar 2015) and the tripling of the Baltic Dry Index may prompt ship owners […]

S&P500 has rebounded 31% from 23 Mar 20! Time to buy, hold or sell (19 Apr 20)?

el15

S&P500 has staged a whopping 683 points, or 31% rebound from its intraday low of 2,192 to close 2,875 on 17 Apr 20. Many clients have asked me (almost daily) whether we have already seen the bottom and is this a good time to buy stocks etc. At 2,875, S&P500 is just 15% away from its record intraday high of 3,394 on 19 Feb 2020. The rally in Wall Street is at a stark contrast to grim news from Main Street in terms of job losses; significant number of deaths from Covid 19; lockdowns and poor corporate results. Both bull […]

Yangzijiang – may be ripe for a bounce (12 Nov 2019)

el15

This week, besides Food Empire which caught my attention (click HERE), Yangzijiang (“YZJ”) also caught my attention for being a laggard. It has given up all the gains since its large 7% jump on 5 Nov 2019. Notwithstanding the recent mild profit taking, it seems to be holding up well above its uptrend line. Given that its results are just around the corner, it may be an opportune time to take a look at YZJ. Do take a look at the basis, and more importantly, the risks.   Basis A) Chart analysis – a breakout / breakdown seems to be […]