Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

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SingPost – Likely strong earnings growth this financial year! (30 Jun 24)

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Dear all Singapore Post Limited (SingPost) is one of CGSI’s three value picks with re-rating potential in their Singapore Strategy report dated 8 May 2024. I have the privilege of meeting SingPost Group CFO, Mr Vincent Yik this month which I have shared with my LinkedIn (click HERE). It is interesting that SingPost has formed a potential bullish hammer on 28 June with a one-month high volume. SingPost closed at $0.430 on 28 Jun 2024. Why is SingPost interesting? I have summarised my readings from SGX announcements, analyst reports and my 1-1 interaction with Vincent in this article. Some key […]

Frasers Property Limited – large market cap stock trading at rock bottom valuations! (16 Jun 24)

el15

Dear all The past few weeks have been extremely busy from MSCI index rebalancing (where there are lots of opportunities to capitalise on); to 1-1 meetings and a site visit in Myanmar. This is why I have not been posting posts on my Linkedin (click HERE for my Linkedin) and only one article on my blog since 6 May 2024.  While doing my usual stock screening of SGX listed stocks, I found out that Frasers Property Limited (FPL) has the lowest valuation at 0.3x P/BV, while being one of the largest market capitalisation stocks listed on SGX. FPL closed at […]

Yoma has breached its two-year downtrend line with volume expansion (2 Jun 24)

el15

Dear all, Among the numerous write-ups which I regularly sent to my clients; I have previously done a short write-up on Yoma Strategic Holdings Ltd on 23 Apr 2024. It traded between $0.040 – 0.042 on 23 Apr and closed at $0.041. A multi-year low (at least 13 years low) price was reached on 19 Apr and 22 Apr. I have actually informed some active clients who trade small cap stocks to take a look on 19 Apr. Since 23 Apr, Yoma has seen stellar performance in its share price by rising 137% from $0.041 to touch an intra-day high […]

Civmec – poised for a potential breakout above flag formation! (10 Sep 23)

el15

Dear all With reference to my technical write-up on Boustead Singapore dated 23 Jun (click HERE), I pointed out that Boustead Singapore seems to be poised for a bullish breakout. It closed at $0.825 on 23 Jun and subsequently jumped 9% to touch an intraday high of $0.900 on 26 Jul. This compares favourably to STI which generated a 4.0% over the same period. Another stock, Civmec has recently caught my attention due to its chart development which may portend a potential bullish breakout. It closed $0.805 on 8 Sep. First of all, let’s understand what Civmec does.   Description […]

Two charts – Lendlease Reit and Manulife US Reit caught my attention (11 Jul 23)

el15

Dear all, Based on my personal reading, since a couple of months ago, investor interest seems to be gradually rotating back into the reit sector. Several reits have caught my attention. For this write-up, I will focus on Lendlease Reit and Manulife US Reit.   1) Lendlease Reit closed $0.660 With reference to my write-up on Lendlease Reit dated 3 Jul 2023 (click HERE), I have compiled my key takeaways from my 1-1 meeting with Lendlease Reit’s management and from what I gather from the various analyst reports and my other readings into this write-up. As such, I will not be […]

Lendlease Reit – Under-appreciated reit; yields >7% per annum! (3 Jul 23)

el15

Dear all Lendlease Reit (“Lendlease”) caught my attention as according to consensus, it offers a potential dividend yield of around 7.1% in each of FY23F and FY24F (financial year ends in June). Furthermore, 7 analysts have rated Lendlease a buy with average analyst target price $0.85, representing a potential capital appreciation of around 28.8%. Lendlease closed at $0.660 on 30 Jun 2023. For a reit, such returns, if they indeed materialise, are rather substantial. As such, this leads me to dig deeper into the reit. Last month, I am fortunate to meet Mr Kelvin Chow, CEO of Lendlease Global Commercial […]

Boustead Singapore – chart poised for a bullish breakout! (23 Jun 23)

el15

Dear all With reference to my write-up on Comfort Delgro dated 9 Jun 2023 (click HERE) where I pointed out that I am comfortable to accumulate Comfort Delgro for a trading play, Comfort Delgro closed at $1.03 on 9 Jun, the lowest close last since on 18 Mar 2004. Since my writeup, Comfort Delgro has fortunately appreciated nine out of ten trading days to close almost 15% higher at $1.18 today. This compares favourably with STI which moved up 0.2% over the same period. Another stock, Boustead Singapore has recently caught my attention due to its chart development. It closed […]

Aztech looks interesting – lowest forward PE among SG tech stocks with a 5.6% estimated dividend yield! (16 Apr 22)

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Dear all This week, Aztech has caught my attention amid rising volume with its 1QFY22F business update just around the corner. It has fallen approximately 39% from an intraday high of $1.56 on 27 Apr 2021 to close at $0.950 last Thursday. Let’s take a look on the interesting points and potential risks on Aztech.   Interesting points a) Analysts like Aztech with average target price $1.44 With reference to Figure 1 below, 4 analysts cover Aztech and all rate it a buy. Average analyst target price is around $1.44. If the analysts are right, Aztech offers a potential capital […]

2 interesting charts to take note: Comfort Delgro & Q&M Dental (22 Sep 2021)

el15

Dear all With reference to my market outlook published on National Day (see HERE), markets have broadly declined, in line with my expectations, with STI and Hang Seng touching their highs on 10 Aug and 11 Aug respectively before dipping. Amid the recent weakness, two stock charts, namely Comfort Delgro and Q&M Dental catch my attention. Let’s take a look.   Comfort Delgro Based on Chart 1 below, Comfort Delgro has retreated to the low last seen in Nov 2020. It is currently at $1.51 and is testing an important support around $1.50-1.51 for the past three days (inclusive today). […]

China Aoyuan – a potential value play? (15 Jun 21)

el15

Dear all Against the backdrop of rising inflation, some market strategists have recommended “additional urgency” to rotate from technology plays to “old economy value stocks” to hedge against potential inflation pressures (as they believe such inflation pressures are not transitory). A stock that may tick all the right boxes may be China Aoyuan (“Aoyuan”) (3883.HK). It belongs to the old economy stocks (i.e. property sector which may be a hedge against inflation) and seems to be a value play, given that it trades at HKD7.01 on 15 Jun 21.   Who is Aoyuan? Quoting from a report by DBS Research […]