Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

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China Aviation – chart looks bullish amid analyst buy calls; below average valuations, supported with 3.6% dividend yield (3 Jan 2020)

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Dear readers, Happy New Year! Hope your new year has been great. Market has been extremely interesting for the past couple of months. Recently, China Aviation (“CAO”) caught my attention with its bullish chart and looks interesting on a risk to reward aspect. CAO closed at $1.30 last Fri. Day range was $1.29-1.32. Read on for more.   Why did CAO catch my attention? a) Average analyst target price $1.70 With reference to Figure 1 below, average analyst target is around $1.70. Together with an estimated dividend yield of around 3.6%, CAO offers a total potential return of around 34%. […]

STI – to head towards 3,390 points in 1Q2020? (25 Dec 19)

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Merry Xmas! As we approach end 2019, most market strategists are putting their market estimates for end 2020. Although I do not profess to be in the league of these market strategists, just for fun, I am expecting STI to head towards 3,390 in 1Q2020. STI closed at 3,222 on 24 Dec 2019. I have outlined my basis and the risks involved.   Factors for my bullish basis a) Chart looks positive after bullish break Based on Chart 1 below, STI has staged a bullish break above its flag formation on 12 Dec 2019. Notwithstanding below average volume for the […]

Sunpower and Unusual – stocks with interesting charts (26 Nov 2019)

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On 6 Nov 2019, I posted an article (using data as of 5 Nov) on my blog with regard to two stocks, namely ISOTeam and Sunpower (click HERE) for their potential bullish chart developments amid volume expansion. ISOTeam touched an intraday high of $0.250 last Friday and Sunpower traded to an intraday high of $0.600 on 18 Nov 2019 as compared to $0.240 for ISOTeam and $0.525 for Sunpower at the time of my write-up. Since then, Sunpower has seen some significant profit taking and touched an intraday low $0.510 on 21 Nov. For Sunpower, I have taken profit when […]

Frencken nears 14Y overbought RSI level amid 10Y high prices (19 Nov 2019)

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This week, Frencken has caught my attention with its 34% surge from $0.690 on 31 Oct 2019. It closed $0.925 on 19 Nov 2019. At $0.925, this is very near to its 10-year high closing price $0.930 set on 18 Nov 2019. Since 31 Oct 2019, it has risen 10 out of the past 13 trading days with two days having closed unchanged. RSI closed at 88.1 on 19 Nov 2019, which is near a 14 year overbought level. Based on Frencken’s chart, it seems to present a favourable risk to reward short trade. Please see the basis and more […]

Yangzijiang – may be ripe for a bounce (12 Nov 2019)

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This week, besides Food Empire which caught my attention (click HERE), Yangzijiang (“YZJ”) also caught my attention for being a laggard. It has given up all the gains since its large 7% jump on 5 Nov 2019. Notwithstanding the recent mild profit taking, it seems to be holding up well above its uptrend line. Given that its results are just around the corner, it may be an opportune time to take a look at YZJ. Do take a look at the basis, and more importantly, the risks.   Basis A) Chart analysis – a breakout / breakdown seems to be […]

Food Empire – potential bullish chart development amid volume expansion (11 Nov 2019)

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This week, Food Empire caught my attention with their potential bullish chart developments amid volume expansion. This may be an opportune time to take a look at Food Empire on the back of its potential bullish chart and strong results released this evening. Do take a look at the basis and more importantly, the risks.   Basis A) Chart looks positive with strengthening indicators and volume Based on Chart 1 below, Food Empire has been trading in six-month trading range $0.490 – 0.550 and is now on the verge of challenging its key resistance around $0.550 with increasing volume. It […]

Two stocks, ISOTeam and Sunpower with potential bullish stock charts (5 Nov 2019)

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This week, two stocks, namely ISOTeam and Sunpower caught my attention with their potential bullish chart developments amid volume expansion.   1. ISOTeam Chart looks positive with strengthening indicators and volume Based on Chart 1 below, ISOTeam has been trading in a range $0.225 – 0.245 since 2 Aug 2019. ADX is starting to rise (closes at 18.7) amid positively placed DIs. In addition, indicators such as MACD, OBV and RSI are strengthening. MACD has done a bullish MACD line crossover and centerline crossover. A sustained breach above $0.245 with volume expansion is positive for the chart with an eventual […]

Unusual – Challenging its key resistance $0.270 – 0.280 with volume expansion (4 Nov 2019)

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Last Friday, Unusual Limited (“Unusual”) caught my attention. It is testing its key resistance $0.270 – 0.280, accompanied by an increase in volume for the past three days with above average volume in two out of the past three days. It closed at $0.275 on 4 Nov 2019. Day range 0.270 – 0.280. Furthermore, as its 2QFY20F results are just around the corner, it may be an opportune time to take a look at this stock.   Interesting points A) Chart looks positive with strengthening indicators and volume Based on Chart 1 below, Unusual has been challenging its key resistance […]

Chasen – a bullish double bottom making in the making? (23 Oct 19)

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Dear all, This week, Chasen catches my attention as it seems to be forming a bullish double bottom on its chart. I have appended my personal chart analysis, together with some potential positive and negative points on the company. Read on for more below.   Chasen’s chart analysis Based on my personal interpretation of Chasen’s chart, it seems to have tested its double bottom neckline around $0.070-0.072 for the past few days. For the past two days, it managed to close higher consecutively with above average volume. In fact, Chasen closed today with 7.3m shares changing hands, 3.8x above its […]

Nasdaq – potential bearish head and shoulders formation in the making? (29 Sep 19)

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With reference to my earlier write-up (click HERE) titled “S&P500 at 2,979 – limited potential upside (8 Sep 19)”, S&P500 touched intraday highs of 3,021 – 3,022 on 12 Sep 2019 and 19 Sep 2019 but it was still lower than the record intraday high of 3,028 on 26 July 2019. S&P500 closed at 2,962 on 27 Sep 2019. Hang Seng and STI touch one-month intraday highs on 13 Sep 2019 before profit taking sets in. October is likely a volatile month ahead given (just to cite a few examples) more news on trade talks (e.g. U.S vs China; U.S. […]