Figure 1_Comfort Delgro analyst target price 19 Jan 23

Comfort Delgro sinks to 14-year low! Will it go lower? (19 Jan 2023)

Dear all On 11 Jan, Comfort (CD) closed at $1.21, the lowest close since 31 Oct 2008. The next day, to the horror of CD’s shareholders, it broke $1.21 with volume expansion and closed at $1.18. At the time of this write-up, CD closed today at $1.14, the lowest close last seen 29 Oct 2008. Will CD fall more? Or will this be a comfortable trade at current level? Let’s read on for more.   Possible reasons to be bullish A) Still a recovery play CD with its operations in Australia, China, Singapore, UK etc. should gradually benefit as economies […]

Table 1_Highlighted companies on my blog and their performance 3 Dec 22

Nov has been a fantastic month for equities! What’s next? (3 Dec 22)

Dear all With reference to my writeup published on 25 Oct (click HERE), where markets seem to be plagued with various negative news, I pointed out that Dow may have formed a bullish double bottom formation. In the writeup, I also featured Hang Seng tracker ETF (2800.HK) and UOB. My clients would have noticed my almost daily writeups on the stocks to consider taking a closer look as they hit lows in Oct. Below are only some of the stocks which I have featured on my blog in Oct and their performance. Table 1: Featured writeups on my blog in […]

Figure 1_UOB analyst target price 25 Oct 22

Dow seems to have formed a bullish double bottom formation (25 Oct 2022)

Dear all Talk to anyone and I guess at least 50% of them are shaking their heads. Some of their usual concerns are a) Anxieties on the economy and their jobs in 2023; b) Hit by inflationary pressures from rising costs ranging from food, fuel, electricity, cars and properties; c) Worries over their home mortgage as rates are soaring through the roof; d) Concerns on their portfolios whether there may be more losses ahead and etc… At the point of writing this article, Hang Seng closed -1,030 points lower, or -6.4% to close 15,181. Is it all doom and gloom? […]

Chart 1_SGX chart 20 Oct 22

SGX drops for 12th consecutive day, longest losing streak since IPO! (20 Oct 22)

Dear all, Since 4 Oct 2022, SGX has fallen for 12 consecutive sessions, logging its longest losing streak since IPO in 2000! Over the past 12 sessions, SGX has lost a total of 12.5%, or $1.19 to close at $8.33 on 20 Oct 2022. It is noteworthy that STI has only fallen 3.7% over the same period. In addition, SGX’s RSI closed 13.3, the lowest since 2008!   The below is a sample of a stock alert / observation which I typically send to my clients on a regular basis. Readers who are interested can consider signing up at http://ernest15percent.com. […]

Fig 4_Wilmar average analyst target

3 stocks, Comfort Delgro, Thai Bev and Wilmar trade at attractive valuations (11 Oct 22)

Dear all Yesterday, Comfort Delgro, Thai Bev and Wilmar closed at $1.25; $0.565 and $3.64 respectively. Personally, they look interesting on several aspects. At $1.25, Comfort Delgro trades at levels last seen in 2011 and 2009! At $0.565, Thai Bev sits on a long term uptrend line established since 2009! At $3.64, Wilmar trades at approximately 2.2x and 3.0x standard deviations below its 10Y average PE and P/BV of around 13.8x and 1.1x respectively! Read on for more.   *Comfort Delgro* I have previously published a write-up on Comfort Delgro. Readers can refer to my write-up HERE for more information […]

Figure 1_Comfort Delgro analyst target price 30 Sep 22

Comfort Delgro drops back to pandemic lows! What gives? (30 Sep 22)

On 1 Sep, it was announced that Comfort Delgro (“CD”) will drop out of STI after being first included in the STI on 28 Jul 2010. Subsequently, there was turmoil in United Kingdom (“UK”) gilts and currency as UK government led by Prime Minister Liz Truss unveiled a (surprisingly) GBP45b plan to reduce taxes (click HERE for more information). Although CD may see some near-term price weakness, at Friday’s close of $1.32 (CD touched an intraday low $1.29 at the point of writing this), I personally believe most of the negatives may have already been priced in. Why am I […]

Table 1_Bloomberg est on Comfort Delgro's 1HFY22F interim dividends 5 Aug 22

Alert! Comfort Delgro – Multi-month base building & challenges key resistance – Looks bullish (6 Aug 22)

Dear Readers, As you are aware, I usually will do a stock screening using Bloomberg at the start of each month. In the screening, Comfort Delgro (“CD”) pops out on attractive valuations via my metrics. This is not the first time that CD pops out in my screening. However, coupled with some of the points below, it may arguably be a good time to take a closer look in CD. Due to time constraints, this write-up will be brief and I will just raise some pertinent points and risks. For a more complete picture, it is advisable to refer to […]

Analyst target 5 Mar 20

ARA HTrust – most oversold stock in Singapore with 10% estimated div yield (5 Mar 2020)

Dear all, Yesterday evening, as I run my stock screening via Bloomberg, ARA HTrust comes out to be the most oversold among Singapore listed stocks yesterday with a RSI of 8.2. This is its most oversold level since listing. ARA HTrust has tumbled approximately 22% from an intraday high of US$0.900 to close at US$0.705 yesterday, which is the lowest close since IPO. Why does it attract my attention? Read on for more.   A) Chart – Selling pressures may ease as oversold pressures escalate Based on Chart 1 below, ARA HTrust is entrenched in a downtrend. All the exponential […]

analyst 2 Mar 20

Singpost – grossly oversold; closes at prices last seen in May 2009! (2 Mar 2020)

Dear all, It has been an extremely busy and hectic period with the U.S. indices clocking in their largest record weekly percentage drop last week. This week, Singpost caught my attention. Singpost has fallen 17.4% from its intraday high of $0.950 on 3 Jan 2020 to close at $0.785 today which is the lowest close since 5 May 2009. RSI closes at a grossly oversold level 10.7, almost at an all-time low last seen in June 2003. Why does it attract my attention? Read on for more.   Chart – Seems to indicate selling pressures may ease in the near […]

Analyst target 3 Jan 20

China Aviation – chart looks bullish amid analyst buy calls; below average valuations, supported with 3.6% dividend yield (3 Jan 2020)

Dear readers, Happy New Year! Hope your new year has been great. Market has been extremely interesting for the past couple of months. Recently, China Aviation (“CAO”) caught my attention with its bullish chart and looks interesting on a risk to reward aspect. CAO closed at $1.30 last Fri. Day range was $1.29-1.32. Read on for more.   Why did CAO catch my attention? a) Average analyst target price $1.70 With reference to Figure 1 below, average analyst target is around $1.70. Together with an estimated dividend yield of around 3.6%, CAO offers a total potential return of around 34%. […]