Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

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China Railway Construction (01186.HK) – Bargain buy, or value trap? (22 Sep 2020)

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China Railway Construction (“CRCC”) recently caught my attention as it has tumbled approximately 44% from an intraday high of $9.99 on 5 Mar 2020 to close HKD5.64 on 21 Sep 2020. Is this a bargain buy, or a value trap? Let’s take a look.   First up, a description of CRCC Quoting from its 1HFY20 results, CRCC’s businesses cover a variety of construction, survey, design and consultation, manufacturing, real estate development, logistics and materials trading and other business with refined industry chain covering scientific research, planning, survey, design, construction, supervision and management, maintenance, operation, investment and financing, etc.   Six […]

Riverstone – Is the recent 32% decline justified? (12 Sep 2020)

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Riverstone recently caught my attention. It has tumbled approximately 32% from an intraday high of $4.90 on 7 Aug 2020 to close $3.33 on 11 Sep 2020. One client even thought that Riverstone has already undergone a bonus issue! The recent weakness is likely attributed to its co-founder selling 15.5m shares at $3.95 (Bloomberg cites a 90-day lockup on seller); the possibility of a vaccine resulting in demand for gloves and consequently their average selling price (“ASP”) falling off the cliff and some Malaysia investors selling shares to raise cash, as their moratorium on loan repayment ends (click HERE for […]

Starburst – building order books; bright outlook (24 Aug 2020)

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In May 2019, I met Starburst’s Managing and Executive Director Mr Yap Tin Foo. Since Mar 2020, Starburst has been on a roll in winning contracts and I believe it is an opportune time to meet Mr Yap again. Despite Mr Yap’s busy schedule, he agrees to meet me on 1-1 basis to share his company’s business operations and prospects. Below are some of my takeaways from my discussion with him and from its recent results briefing.   Company description Quoting from Starburst’s press release, it is an engineering specialist in a niche industry, and designs, fabricates, installs and maintains […]

China Everbright Water and NetDragon look interesting… (30 Jul 2020)

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This week, notwithstanding the continuous interest in glove companies, pharmaceutical companies etc, there are some companies which seem to have some steady inflows, based on chart observations. Two companies come to my mind, namely NetDragon and China Everbright Water Limited (“CEWL”). What is so interesting about the above companies? Let’s take a closer look at its chart and other noteworthy points. 1. NetDragon – on an uptrend, with all 13 analysts calling it a BUY Company description – before I delve into the chart… Some readers may not be familiar with NetDragon (HKSE: 0777). According to NetDragon company description, it […]

ARA HTrust – most oversold stock in Singapore with 10% estimated div yield (5 Mar 2020)

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Dear all, Yesterday evening, as I run my stock screening via Bloomberg, ARA HTrust comes out to be the most oversold among Singapore listed stocks yesterday with a RSI of 8.2. This is its most oversold level since listing. ARA HTrust has tumbled approximately 22% from an intraday high of US$0.900 to close at US$0.705 yesterday, which is the lowest close since IPO. Why does it attract my attention? Read on for more.   A) Chart – Selling pressures may ease as oversold pressures escalate Based on Chart 1 below, ARA HTrust is entrenched in a downtrend. All the exponential […]

Singpost – grossly oversold; closes at prices last seen in May 2009! (2 Mar 2020)

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Dear all, It has been an extremely busy and hectic period with the U.S. indices clocking in their largest record weekly percentage drop last week. This week, Singpost caught my attention. Singpost has fallen 17.4% from its intraday high of $0.950 on 3 Jan 2020 to close at $0.785 today which is the lowest close since 5 May 2009. RSI closes at a grossly oversold level 10.7, almost at an all-time low last seen in June 2003. Why does it attract my attention? Read on for more.   Chart – Seems to indicate selling pressures may ease in the near […]

China Aviation – chart looks bullish amid analyst buy calls; below average valuations, supported with 3.6% dividend yield (3 Jan 2020)

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Dear readers, Happy New Year! Hope your new year has been great. Market has been extremely interesting for the past couple of months. Recently, China Aviation (“CAO”) caught my attention with its bullish chart and looks interesting on a risk to reward aspect. CAO closed at $1.30 last Fri. Day range was $1.29-1.32. Read on for more.   Why did CAO catch my attention? a) Average analyst target price $1.70 With reference to Figure 1 below, average analyst target is around $1.70. Together with an estimated dividend yield of around 3.6%, CAO offers a total potential return of around 34%. […]

STI – to head towards 3,390 points in 1Q2020? (25 Dec 19)

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Merry Xmas! As we approach end 2019, most market strategists are putting their market estimates for end 2020. Although I do not profess to be in the league of these market strategists, just for fun, I am expecting STI to head towards 3,390 in 1Q2020. STI closed at 3,222 on 24 Dec 2019. I have outlined my basis and the risks involved.   Factors for my bullish basis a) Chart looks positive after bullish break Based on Chart 1 below, STI has staged a bullish break above its flag formation on 12 Dec 2019. Notwithstanding below average volume for the […]

Sunpower and Unusual – stocks with interesting charts (26 Nov 2019)

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On 6 Nov 2019, I posted an article (using data as of 5 Nov) on my blog with regard to two stocks, namely ISOTeam and Sunpower (click HERE) for their potential bullish chart developments amid volume expansion. ISOTeam touched an intraday high of $0.250 last Friday and Sunpower traded to an intraday high of $0.600 on 18 Nov 2019 as compared to $0.240 for ISOTeam and $0.525 for Sunpower at the time of my write-up. Since then, Sunpower has seen some significant profit taking and touched an intraday low $0.510 on 21 Nov. For Sunpower, I have taken profit when […]

Frencken nears 14Y overbought RSI level amid 10Y high prices (19 Nov 2019)

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This week, Frencken has caught my attention with its 34% surge from $0.690 on 31 Oct 2019. It closed $0.925 on 19 Nov 2019. At $0.925, this is very near to its 10-year high closing price $0.930 set on 18 Nov 2019. Since 31 Oct 2019, it has risen 10 out of the past 13 trading days with two days having closed unchanged. RSI closed at 88.1 on 19 Nov 2019, which is near a 14 year overbought level. Based on Frencken’s chart, it seems to present a favourable risk to reward short trade. Please see the basis and more […]