Ernest Lim's investing blog

Unique insights into SGX small caps

Author: el15

Genting Singapore, touted as a recovery play, trades near eight-month low price! (5 Aug 23)

el15

Dear all Recently, Genting Singapore, a supposedly recovery play, closed at a near eight-month low price. It caught my attention especially after Las Vegas Sands (LVS) reported results on 19 Jul 2023. LVS reported a good set of results and indicated that there is scope for further improvement, as China tourists have not come back in full force yet. While the details (such as VIP volume growth and win percentage) may differ markedly from LVS (i.e., Marina Bay Sands) and Genting Singapore, generally speaking, the good set of results in MBS increases the chance that Genting Singapore may report similar […]

Sasseur Reit – Three analyst initiations in less than 2 months! What gives (25 Jul 23)

el15

Dear all Two weeks ago, I mentioned that some reits’ charts (click HERE) have caught my attention. On a fundamental basis, besides Lendlease Reit (Click HERE for my key takeaway from my 1-1 meeting with Lendlease Reit Manager CEO), Sasseur Reit has caught my particular attention. What first caught my attention was that Sasseur Reit has seen three analyst initiations in less than two months! There are now six research houses actively covering Sasseur Reit. This is quite a feat for a China reit to attract such wide analyst coverage on a relative basis, as it is common knowledge that […]

Two charts – Lendlease Reit and Manulife US Reit caught my attention (11 Jul 23)

el15

Dear all, Based on my personal reading, since a couple of months ago, investor interest seems to be gradually rotating back into the reit sector. Several reits have caught my attention. For this write-up, I will focus on Lendlease Reit and Manulife US Reit.   1) Lendlease Reit closed $0.660 With reference to my write-up on Lendlease Reit dated 3 Jul 2023 (click HERE), I have compiled my key takeaways from my 1-1 meeting with Lendlease Reit’s management and from what I gather from the various analyst reports and my other readings into this write-up. As such, I will not be […]

Lendlease Reit – Under-appreciated reit; yields >7% per annum! (3 Jul 23)

el15

Dear all Lendlease Reit (“Lendlease”) caught my attention as according to consensus, it offers a potential dividend yield of around 7.1% in each of FY23F and FY24F (financial year ends in June). Furthermore, 7 analysts have rated Lendlease a buy with average analyst target price $0.85, representing a potential capital appreciation of around 28.8%. Lendlease closed at $0.660 on 30 Jun 2023. For a reit, such returns, if they indeed materialise, are rather substantial. As such, this leads me to dig deeper into the reit. Last month, I am fortunate to meet Mr Kelvin Chow, CEO of Lendlease Global Commercial […]

Boustead Singapore – chart poised for a bullish breakout! (23 Jun 23)

el15

Dear all With reference to my write-up on Comfort Delgro dated 9 Jun 2023 (click HERE) where I pointed out that I am comfortable to accumulate Comfort Delgro for a trading play, Comfort Delgro closed at $1.03 on 9 Jun, the lowest close last since on 18 Mar 2004. Since my writeup, Comfort Delgro has fortunately appreciated nine out of ten trading days to close almost 15% higher at $1.18 today. This compares favourably with STI which moved up 0.2% over the same period. Another stock, Boustead Singapore has recently caught my attention due to its chart development. It closed […]

Comfort Delgro closed at $1.03, lowest last seen on 18 Mar 2004! (9 Jun 23)

el15

Dear all Comfort Delgro (“CD”) closed at $1.03 today. Based on Bloomberg, this was the lowest close last seen on 18 Mar 2004. The main reason cited for this recent drop was that Citi has reduced its target price for CD from $1.63 (26 Feb 2023) to $1.32 (2 Jun 2023). Nevertheless, they maintained their buy call. Is it all doom and gloom? Should we throw in the towel and just give up on CD? Personally, I find CD interesting at current levels. Before I delve into it, just for record purpose, I have a previous article on CD published […]

S&P500 hits the highest last seen in Aug 2022! Should we buy, hold or sell? (3 Jun 23)

el15

Dear all First of all, apologies for the hiatus in posting new market outlook on my blog. I have been extremely busy for the past three months. My clients can attest to how busy I have been. I have been sending out my market views and news even on weekends and on public holidays. 😊 With reference to my previous writeup published on 26 Feb 2023 (click HERE), I mentioned that I planned to pare positions so that I can accumulate on weakness. In retrospect, it was a timely call. I was fortunate that I have pared my positions so […]

U.S & European stocks logged their largest weekly falls for 2023. What’s next for the equity markets? (26 Feb 23)

el15

Dear all With reference to my writeup published on 30 Jan 2023 (click HERE), where I mentioned I would be cautious in the overall markets, especially after a sharp run up, US stocks have dropped consecutively for the in the past three weeks. Dow has fallen consecutively for the past three weeks and logged its sharpest 1,010 points or 3.0% last week.   So, what is next for our markets? Do we buy, hold or sell? Just to highlight, the below is a sample of a brief stock alert or / and observation which I typically send to my clients […]

Raffles Medical – Potential trading play as its results are just around the corner (20 Feb 23)

el15

Dear all, Raffles Medical caught my attention recently as CLSA raised its target price from $1.70 to $1.92 on 8 Feb 23. $1.92 is a street high target with most analysts’ target price ranging between $1.58 – 1.65. Raffles Medical closed down 1 cent to $1.45 last Fri. Based on my personal view and observation, generally speaking, analysts seldom issue updated call so near to the company’s results release date. I mean there is usually no such urgency to do so, unless they have a significant change in view on the company. For those analysts who do, their calls are […]

Keppel Corp slumps 7% post results to $7.11 – Any trading opportunity ahead? (8 Feb 23)

el15

Dear all, Kep Corp has fallen $0.54 or 7% from $7.65 on 2 Feb to close $7.11 yesterday. In this write-up, I will elaborate on my take on what has happened and whether there is any trading opportunity.   Why did Kep Corp plummet 7%? Kep Corp announced 4QFY22 results on 2 Feb after market. Based on CGS-CIMB report, Kep Corp’s FY22 net profit of S$927m slightly beat estimates, at 102% consensus estimates. So what has caused the sharp drop in share price post results? My guess is that Kep Corp probably drops because a) Kep Corp has appreciated 7.6% […]